2023 NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers Betting Analysis

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2023 NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers Betting Analysis

The Edmonton Oilers are featured heavily in an NHL playoffs bracket challenge or two, and in Stanley Cup odds, the Vegas Golden Knights won the Pacific Division and game one of their series. However, Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the Edmonton Oilers looked like Stanley Cup contenders bouncing back to even the series, winning game two.

We’ll review the NHL stats, trends, NHL odds, and series so far in our Golden Knights vs Oilers betting preview for game three, with the scene shifting to Northern Alberta.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers

Location of the game: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta.

Date & Time: Monday, May 8th, 2023, 8:30 PM ET.

The Edmonton Oilers schedule has been filled with wins over the previous 23 games, having a 19-4 record, including their 5-1 win in game two.

The Oilers hold a 4-2 advantage in the head-to-head season series, with Vegas earning one of their wins against the Oilers this season in Edmonton.

The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.71 goals per game, while the powerplay is converting at 21.7% in the playoffs. Defensively, VGK averages 3.29 goals-against per game, with the penalty kill operating at 52.4%.

Despite laboring from a back injury, Mark Stone leads Vegas with 11 points (four goals, seven assists) in the playoffs.

The Edmonton Oilers lead all NHL teams in offensive production in the regular season and playoffs, averaging 4.25 goals per game and the powerplay converting at 56.0% in the playoffs. Defense is always the Oilers’ weakness. Edmonton is averaging 3.38 goals-against per game, while the penalty kill operates at 67.9%.

Connor McDavid has 12 points, and Leon Draisaitl has ten goals in their previous five games.

There are no changes to the Vegas Golden Knights roster for game three on the NHL injury report, while the Oilers have center Mattias Janmark listed as day-to-day.

We expect Stuart Skinner (29-14-5, 2.75 GAA, .914 SV%) to start game three for Edmonton. Skinner has a 4-3-0 record, a 3.32 GAA, and a .895 SV% in the playoffs.

VGK should start Laurent Brossoit (7-0-3, 2.17 GAA, .927 SV%)  again in game three. Brossoit has a 5-2-0 record, 3.13 GAA, and .896 SV% in the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs.

Before we make our Golden Knights vs Oilers betting picks, we need to review the odds and betting records.

The Oilers (-1.5) are the home favorite, listed between -170 and -195. The Golden Knights (+1.5) are listed at +145 to +162. Edmonton has a 48-42 ats record, while Vegas’ has a 47-42 ats record.

The total goals line is set to 6.5 or 7.0, depending on your sportsbook of choice. With the total goals line listed at 6.5, the over is listed at around -135, while the under is listed at +115. With the total goals line listed at 7.0, the under is listed at -125, while the over is listed around +105.

The Oilers have a 53-29-8 over/under record, while the VGK has a 41-43-5 over/under record.

The over is 4-1-1 in the six head-to-head matchups this season and 2-1 in this second-round series, while the underdog is 8-3 in the previous 11 meetings. The Golden Knights are 2-5 in the previous seven NHL matchups

Pick 1: We’re taking the Edmonton Oilers to win as the first pick in our Golden Knights vs Oilers betting preview.

Pick 2: Our second pick is to take McDavid, Draisaitl, and the Oilers to hit the over, regardless if the total is 6.5 or 7.0.

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