2023 NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs Stars Best Bets & Prediction

If the rest of the NHL and NBA playoffs are any indication, game three is a must-win for the Dallas Stars. On the other hand, the Vegas Golden Knights are playing with house money, hold a 2-0 series lead, and look to be the fourth team to take a 3-0 series lead in the Conference Finals.

We’ll review the stats, trends, and odds for game three before making our Golden Knights vs Stars prediction and highlighting the best bets.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Location of the game: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX.

Date & Time: Tuesday, May 23. 8:00 PM ET.

While there is a gap between rounds on the NHL schedule for playoffs, once a series starts, teams play every second night, and game two is no exception.

The Golden Knights came from behind to win game two 3-2 in overtime to take a 2-0 series lead in the Western Conference Finals.

The five-on-five NHL team stats favor the Golden Knights, who average 3.69 gpg while giving up 2.92 gpg. Conversely, the Stars are averaging 3.47 gpg while giving up 3.13 gpg.

However, the special teams’ stats favor the Dallas Stars. Dallas’ powerplay is converting at 30.4%, with their penalty kill operating at 82.0%, while Vegas’ powerplay is converting at 18.6% and their penalty kill operating at 62.5%.

Roope Hintz is your prop bet target, leading both teams in NHL player stats with 22 points (ten goals, 12 assists).

Regardless of which goalies have been available for any night on the Golden Knights schedule, that goalie usually had VGK in a spot to win. Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%) has been Vegas’ goalie recently, posting a 5-1-0 record, a 2.28 GAA, and a .930 SV% in the playoffs.

We expect the Stars to continue to ride Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%), who has an 8-7-0 record, a 2.84 GAA, and a .901 SV% this postseason.

We must review the NHL odds, trends, and betting records before we analyze both teams and make our Golden Knights vs Stars prediction.

The Vegas Golden Knights have the better NHL Stanley Cup odds, entering game three as the road underdog, listed between +118 and +125. VGK is 1-4 in the last five games in Dallas. VGK (+1.5) has a 50-45 ats record.

The total goals line is usually featured in our NHL predictions, with the line for game three listed at 5.5 total goals. The over is listed between -105 and -115, while the under is listed from -105 to -118. Vegas has a 44-46-5 over/under record. 

Vegas had a 26-7-8 record on the road in the regular season and are 4-1 in the playoffs.

Despite being down 0-2 in the Western Conference Finals, the Dallas Stars are the home favorite, listed between -140 and -150. The Stars (-1.5) have a 52-45 ats record. Dallas has a 43-49-5 over/under record. The under is 4-1 this season.

The Stars had a 22-10-9 home record this season and are 5-2 in the playoffs.

Dallas holds the head-to-head series lead 3-2. The home team is 5-2 in the last seven matchups.

Pick 1: Our first Golden Knights vs Stars prediction is that this game will hit the over. While the first two games ended on either side of the total goals line, the Dallas Stars score will improve on home ice, while we expect more of the same from VGK. We’re taking the over of 5.5.

Pick 2: Our second Golden Knights vs Stars prediction is for Dallas to win game three at home.

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