2023 Women’s World Cup: Portugal vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Portugal (1 win, 1 loss, 0 draws) battles the USA (1-0-1) Tuesday in each nation’s final Women’s World Cup group stage match. Kickoff from Eden Park is set for 3 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Portugal vs. USA odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Portugal opened up its Group E play with a 1-0 loss to the Netherlands. It had just 1 shot on goal and 2 shots in that match, owning just 43% of the possession. It had a better showing in a 2-0 win over Vietnam Thursday with 29 shots and 9 on target with 70% possession. Portugal is 21st in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings.

With the Netherlands heavy favorites to beat Vietnam, it will likely advance. So a draw won’t be enough for Portugal to advance; it must beat the USA. Otherwise, the USA will advance.

USA sits atop the FIFA Women’s rankings, but didn’t play like No. 1 in a 1-1 draw with the Netherlands. It had just 43% of the game’s possession. It did end with 13 more shots and 3 more on target than Netherlands. USA also has a 3-0 win over Vietnam under its belt.

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Portugal vs. USA odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:48 p.m. ET.

Portugal vs. USA picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 2, Portugal 0

PASS.

There’s really no team-specific value to play here. There’s heavy juice on the USA, as there should be. The bet for both teams not to score is (-225) and also has too much juice to consider.

The USA hasn’t played like the best team in the world, but the technical abilities are still there. Against a team outside the top 20 in the world, USA should be able to use that advance to win.

BET UNDER 2.5 (-115).

The books do not expect Portugal to score. That’s fine, but with that in mind, they would be assuming the USA scores 3 or more times for the Over.

USA has not shown that type of finishing in the final 3rd to assume it can do that. It scored 3 times on Vietnam and had just 7 shots on target. It then had just 4 shots on target against Netherlands.

Portugal played the Netherlands well, holding it just to just 5 shots on target, and should have success defensively against the USA. Similarly, the USA has yet to allow a goal this World Cup and has given up just 1 shot on target. It should hold Portugal scoreless.

USA scored 2 or fewer goals in 6 straight games prior to the World Cup. Take UNDER 2.5 (-115).

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