2024 Australian Open odds, props, men's final prediction: Sinner vs. Medvedev picks from tennis expert

Russian Daniil Medvedev hopes the third time's the charm Sunday when he faces Italy's Jannik Sinner in the 2024 Australian Open men's singles final in Melbourne Park. Medvedev is in the Australian Open final for the third time in four years, while Sinner is making his first Grand Slam final appearance. Medvedev lost to Novak Djokovic in 2021 and Rafael Nadal in 2022 in Rod Laver Arena. Now he faces Sinner, a 22-year-old who defeated 10-time Australian Open champion Djokovic in Friday's semifinal to end the Serbian's 33-match win streak in Melbourne.

First serve at Rod Laver Arena is set for 3:30 a.m. ET on Sunday. The latest 2024 Australian Open odds list Sinner as a -300 favorite (risk $300 to win $100), with Medvedev priced as a +230 underdog (risk $100 to win $230). Other Medvedev vs. Sinner bets include an over-under on total games played at 38.5, Sinner -4.5 sets (-125) on the handicap and total sets (three +124, four +155 and five +255) and many more. Before you make any Sinner vs. Medvedev picks or 2024 Australian Open predictions, you need to see what tennis expert Jose Onorato has to say.

Onorato grew up playing competitive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the U.S., he trained with famed coach Nick Bollettieri at IMG Academy in Florida and faced players like Robert Farah, now one of the world's top-ranked doubles players.

Onorato, who holds dual degrees in finance and economics from the University of Miami, does extensive research before placing any tennis bets. He studies current form, players' tendencies on a particular surface, weather conditions and many other relevant factors. That systematic approach has helped Onorato go 128-90-7 -- up 69.25 units -- since 2022.

For Sunday, Onorato has scrutinized the latest Australian Open 2024 odds and released his coveted best bets for the Sinner vs. Medvedev men's final. He's sharing his picks and expert analysis only at SportsLine. See what they are at SportsLine.

Why you should back Sinner

Getting a dominant victory in a five-set event against Djokovic on Friday was a huge step for the Italian. Sinner had beaten Djokovic in two of the previous three meetings -- at last season's ATP Finals and Davis Cup Finals -- but this was much bigger. He forced numerous errors from the men's game's most decorated player, and Sinner's accuracy and powerful backhand should give Medvedev a lot of trouble. Winning a Grand Slam title soon seems inevitable for Sinner.

The 22-year-old has also had Medvedev's number. The Russian has a 6-3 advantage in all-time meetings, but Sinner has won the past three. He beat Medvedev in finals at Beijing and Vienna last season and has 10 career ATP titles. Add in that Medvedev just played a semifinal that lasted more than four hours, and the odds seem stacked against him. Sinner led the ATP Tour by saving 69.6% of break points and was second in winning 73.9% of deciding sets in 2023. See what to back at SportsLine.

Why you should back Medvedev

Medvedev is a former world No. 1 and is much more experienced under the Grand Slam pressure, as he's making his sixth final appearance. This might be his best chance at his second title since he defeated Djokovic to win the 2021 U.S. Open. The Russian has shown his mental toughness in rallying from two sets down in two of his victories in Melbourne. Medvedev is one of the best players in the game on returns and can wear players down with long rallies.

The 27-year-old led the ATP Tour in return rating last season, winning 31.4% of his return games and converting 46.4% of his break points. Standing at 6-foot-6, Medvedev also has a powerful serve and keeps the ball in play with a strong backhand long enough to force mistakes. Medvedev is 44-8 on hard courts since the start of last season. He made nine finals in 2023, eight of them on hard courts (two indoors), and four of his five titles came on hard surfaces. See what to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 Australian Open men's singles final picks

Onorato has locked in his best bets for the men's final. He is leaning Under 39.5 total games (-120), but he has two even stronger picks, on the outright winner and the handicap. You need to see his pick and analysis before considering any 2024 Australian Open bets.