After 10,000 simulations, the best bet for the ACC title game is not what sports fans in North Carolina expect

As UNC prepares to clash with NC State in the much-anticipated ACC Championship game at Capital One Arena on Saturday at 8:30 p.m. EST, the betting world is abuzz with predictions and odds. But the best bet, revealed through extensive simulations, might surprise you.

This expert prediction for the NC State vs. UNC gameis powered by the data analysts at Dimers.com, a leader in sports betting predictions. Check out the interactive widget below to explore the latest odds and probabilities, including spread, total, and moneyline for the biggest ACC basketball game of 2024.

• Teams: NC State vs. UNC
• Date: Saturday, March 16, 2024
• Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. EST
• Location: Capital One Arena

Clicking the odds below will direct you to DraftKings Sportsbook, who offer industry leading college football odds.

• Spread: North Carolina State +9.5 (-120), UNC -9.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: North Carolina State +330, UNC -420
• Total: Over/Under 145.5 (-110/-110)

Odds are subject to change.

After running 10,000 simulations, Dimers’ model indicates that UNC stands a 78% chance of victory. However, based on sportsbook odds, the best bet deviates from the moneyline: the under on 145.5 points (-110) is the expert’s top recommendation.

“Our predictive model simulated the ACC title thousands of times to identify probabilities and betting edges not apparent in standard odds,” explained Dimers.com data analyst Greg Butyn, regarding his team’s methodology in selecting the UNC vs. NC State game’s best bet.

“Then we cross-referenced the results with current sportsbook odds, and the data reveals where the real betting value lies. Today, it seems to have taken people by surprise that the model is pointing towards the 60.5 under as the best bet of the day.”

• Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to place this bet with DraftKings
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• Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to place this bet with Bet365
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Dimers’ simulation forecasts a close contest with UNC edging out NC State 76-67. This scoreline prediction is based on thousands of simulations, providing a peek into one of the potential outcomes of this thrilling game.

Gear up for the NC State vs. UNC face-off, and elevate your experience with the best parlay bets today. Remember, our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations, ensuring you’re armed with well-researched information for your betting strategies.

North Carolina sports betting is now live as of this month, with college basketball fans in the the Tar Heel State lucky enough to be able to bet on in-state college teams, with each of these offers perfect to use on the big game.

With all predictions and bets, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and consult reputable sources. For the latest and most accurate information, always turn to trusted platforms when making your online betting decisions.

Dimers.com provides exclusive sports betting content to Syracuse.com, including sports news, picks, analysis and sportsbook promotions to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.