App State vs JMU Prediction & Odds

Odds as of November 17, 2023, at ESPN Sportsbook. Find out below how to use the ESPN Bet promo code to wager on App State vs JMU.

How to Bet App State vs JMU at ESPN

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Mountaineers Betting Analysis

App State enters ESPN College GameDay currently riding a three-game winning streak and sporting a 6-4 record. They’ve won four of their six conference dates thus far, including in Week 11 when they defeated Georgia State 42-14.

The Mountaineers are averaging 34.8 points per game, led by quarterback Joey Aguilar who has passed for 2,657 yards, 26 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Top offensive weapons include running back Nate Noel (759 yards, 5 TDs) and wide receivers Kaedin Robinson (541 yards, 6 TDs) and Christan Horn (456 yards, 5 TDs).

On the defensive side of the ball, the Mountaineers have struggled, allowing 390 yards and 27 points per game. Albeit against weaker competition, the Mountaineers can take some solace in the fact they’ve held their past two opponents to a total of just 23 points.

Dukes Betting Analysis

James Madison enters this college football game with an impressive 10-0 record, including a 6-0 mark in conference play. The last time the Dukes took the field, they took down Connecticut by a 44-6 score at home. QB Jordan McCloud was outstanding, throwing for 457 yards and four touchdowns.

The Dukes have one of the top offenses in the Sun Belt, averaging 34.3 points per game. Quarterback Jordan McCloud has been dynamite, passing for 2,800 yards, 26 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Wide receivers Reggie Brown (903 yards, 8 TDs) and Elijah Sarratt (841 yards, 4 TDs) have been McCloud’s top targets.

While the JMU offense is humming, the defense might be the Dukes’ biggest asset. James Madison is only allowing 18.2 points per game and leads the FBS in total sacks. Defensive lineman Jalen Green has played a key role in that success, racking up 15.5 individual sacks.

App State vs JMU Prediction

This betting line opened as high as 12.5 at some sportsbooks, but has come down several points with bettors feeling the Mountaineers were undervalued. We actually would have taken the Dukes at the original line and feel there’s solid value in them covering the 10 points.

This JMU defense is suffocating, and the Mountaineers have struggled to score points on the road.  In recent road losses to Wyoming and Old Dominion, App State has been held to an average of 20 points. On their home field, the Dukes are allowing 15.4 points per game and have never given up more than three scores,

Where we see JMU winning this game, however, is in the trenches as they boast an excellent ground attack and rush defense. App State is allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game and ranks 118th nationally in rushing defense efficiency per PFF. That’s quite the contrast to JMU, who ranks fourth-best nationally in rush defense efficiency.

App State might be a popular public underdog due to the enticing underdog spread, but keep in mind the Mountainers have only covered the number in three of their last 16 conference games. The smart money is on the Dukes staying undefeated with a convincing home victory.