Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-145) Colorado (+125)

The Colorado Rockies (8-18) will try to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-12) at Coors Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at -145 and Colorado is at +125. The total has been set at 11.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Kyle Freeland.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 13th in the league. They have a total of 121 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .312. The Diamondbacks have tallied 55 doubles as a squad and have hit 21 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 116 runs batted in and 226 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .260. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .412 and have been rung up 197 times, while being walked on 58 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks have compiled a team ERA of 4.62 this season (21st in baseball), and they have rung up 215 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 33 long balls and 123 runs (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 106 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.85 as a squad this year. Arizona has conceded 202 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 117 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.03 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.35.

Diamondbacks pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 26 times as well as having 22 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 12 holds so far this season (17th in the league). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 63.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 23 save situations. They have compiled 7 saves on the year and have blown 4 out of their 11 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 42 base runners for the season with 31.0% of them crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 87 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Diamondbacks have transformed 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,052 innings on the field, which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 684 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 252 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .992 which puts them in 2nd in professional baseball, and have a total of 20 double plays.

Kelly (37-38 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 2,481 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 558 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 181 walks. His ERA is 3.93 (262 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.233. Kelly has taken the hill for 599 innings and has earned 519 K's during his MLB career.

The Colorado Rockies have accounted for an on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .243 on the campaign. They have struck out on 241 instances (2nd in MLB) and have recorded 213 base knocks. Colorado has knocked in 21 home runs on the year as well as 94 RBIs. The Rockies hold a slugging % of .372 and they average 3.77 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have hit 50 two-baggers, while taking a walk 72 times as well as scoring 98 runs.

The Rockies have a team WHIP of 1.466 in addition to having a FIP of 5.03 as a team for the year. They have a ranking of 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 229. The Colorado pitching staff have surrendered 145 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.09 (126 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.10 (200 strikeouts vs 98 free passes). They have yielded 35 homers and they concede 5.85 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league).

With 10 save situations, the Rockies have tallied 4 holds and also 2 blown saves. Colorado has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 13 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with base runners. Colorado relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of their 41 inherited base runners. They are ranked 17th in MLB with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 79 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Colorado Rockies have gotten 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Rockies have accrued 239 assists, 19 errors and have amassed 669 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 2,007 innings played, the Rockies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (24th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Freeland has given up 906 hits while earning 659 punch outs in 856 innings. Freeland (51-53 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.27 earned run average and has conceded 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 406 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.401 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and he has faced 3,703 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado (+125)

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Additional Resources:
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