Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-120) Cleveland (+100)

The Atlanta Braves (56-27) are en route to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (41-42). The odds on this game have Atlanta at -120 while Cleveland is priced at +100. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Kolby Allard and Shane Bieber.

The Braves have recorded 148 doubles as a team and have knocked 158 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging % of .497 and have been called out on strikes 677 times, while taking a walk on 279 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 2nd in baseball. They have accounted for 453 runs batted in and 773 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .272. They have earned a total of 470 runs while holding a team OBP of .341.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have given up 89 home runs and 331 total runs (2nd in MLB). Atlanta has conceded 670 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 301 earned runs. The Braves have an ERA of 3.66 on the campaign (3rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 793 batters. They have walked 261 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a squad so far this season.

The Braves have sent 276 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 106 runners on the campaign with 31.1% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 28 saves on the year and have blown 14 of their 42 save chances. The Braves bullpen have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relievers have racked up 61 holds on the year (3rd in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 72 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,654 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,218 putouts on the campaign, as well as 679 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which is 27th in the majors, and have 70 double plays.

Allard (9-23 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 5.27 while going up against 1,046 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 254 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 81 walks. His ERA is 5.95 (157 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.412. Allard has taken the hill for 237 innings and has earned 199 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .373 and they earn 4.05 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have tallied 150 doubles, while taking a walk 250 times as well as earning 336 runs. Cleveland has accumulated 55 home runs for the season as well as 311 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 600 occasions (29th in MLB) and have tallied 702 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have recorded a team on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .248 this season.

The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 344 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.80 (315 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 81 long balls and they concede 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.257 with a FIP of 4.08 as a unit so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (653 strikeouts against 255 walks). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 683.

Sitting with 90 save situations, the Guardians have earned 45 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have recorded 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 111 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 21.1% out of 90 inherited base runners. They sit at 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.8%, and they have dispatched 269 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

In their 6,717 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (6th in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 51 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in baseball). The Guardians have accrued 763 assists, 40 errors and have earned a total of 2,239 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bieber has surrendered 716 base hits while totaling 916 K's in 809 innings pitched. Bieber (59-31 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.22 earned run average and has conceded 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 289 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.109 and having a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.06 and he has faced 3,273 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+100)

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Additional Resources:
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