Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, July 6, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-130) New York (+110)

The New York Yankees (48-38) are hosting the Baltimore Orioles (49-35) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at -130 while New York is priced at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Kyle Bradish and Luis Severino.

Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .415 and have been called out on strikes 698 times, while being walked on 275 occasions. They have earned 385 runs batted in and 707 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .250. The Orioles have compiled 150 two-baggers as a team and have hit 98 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 398 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 9th in the league.

The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.31 this year (17th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 776 hitters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 104 home runs in addition to 385 runs in total (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 262 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.20 as a unit on the season. Baltimore has relinquished 738 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 361 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.96 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.33.

Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 111 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 68 holds over the course of the season (1st in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.5% and has entered the game in 113 save situations. They have accumulated 26 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 17 out of their 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 165 base runners this year with 35.8% of those players crossed home plate. The Orioles have sent 298 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 2,260 putouts thus far, as well as 706 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which ranks 5th in MLB, and have 76 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of 6,780 innings on the field, which has them ranked 25th in baseball.

Bradish (8-11 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.15 and he has faced 831 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 192 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 67 free passes. His ERA is 4.37 (95 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.324. Bradish has pitched in 195 innings and has earned 185 K's so far in his career.

The New York Yankees hold an on-base percentage of .302 as well as a batting average of .232 on the season. They have been rung up on 696 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have notched a total of 657 base hits. New York has 122 home runs on the year to go along with 371 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .412 and they are scoring 4.49 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have hit 121 two-baggers, while walking 266 times and putting up 386 runs.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.229 in addition to having a FIP of 4.18 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (751 strikeouts against 276 free passes). They come in at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 667. They have given up 93 homers and they yield 4.07 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 347 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.67 (313 earned runs conceded).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.2% out of their 146 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with runners on. With 82 save situations, the Yankees have accrued 46 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 274 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season. New York has had relief pitchers enter the game in 35 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves.

In their 6,903 innings played, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (6th in baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 60 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Yankees have recorded 761 assists, 53 errors and are sitting with 2,301 putouts for the year.

Severino (51-32 career record) is the owner of a 3.56 ERA and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.73 and he has gone up against 2,794 opposing batters during his career. He has given up a total of 268 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.152 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Severino has conceded 582 base hits while he has totaled 743 strikeouts in 678 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+110)

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