Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig Betting Analysis and Prediction
Bayern Munich have made winning trophies in Germany their usual business, and on Saturday, they go for their first of the 2023-24 season.
They won the Bundesliga at the last minute in May, taking the title on goal differential after tying with Borussia Dortmund. RB Leipzig finished third and also won the DFB-Pokal, earning the berth into this DFL Supercup on Saturday as one of the top soccer matches this week.
Bayern Munich have won the Supercup three straight years, and they have played in this game every year since 2012. Leipzig lost the Supercup at home last year and have never won this trophy but hope to place it next to the DFB-Pokal trophies they have claimed the last two seasons. The Bayern Munich vs RB RB Leipzig betting analysis expects a tight match to start the German season.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
Location of the game: Allianz Arena. Munich, Germany.
Date & Time: Saturday, August 12. 2:45 p.m. ET.
How to watch: ESPN+
This is the first non-friendly for both teams as the 2023-24 season begins. They met in the Super Cup last year, with Bayern winning 5-3 in Leipzig.
In their Bundesliga meetings last season, Leipzig won 3-1 in May, and the teams drew 1-1 in January, going against soccer odds.
Thomas Tuchel is back in Germany, where he originally made a name for himself, and after taking over Bayern mid-season last year, he is in charge from day one in 2023-24. They may still add a superstar like Harry Kane, but even if they don’t, Bayern have the pieces to win yet another Bundesliga title.
Bayern always faces pressure in the season, as winning a title isn’t enough. Fans expect them to win every domestic trophy and to also make a run at the Champions League trophy as well. Bayern scored four times in each of their last two preseason friendly games against Liverpool and Monaco, but they scored just once against European champions Manchester City on the Japan tour.
Bayern still haven’t properly replaced Robert Lewandowski in their attack. Serge Gnabry, Eric Maxim-Choupo Moting, and Jamal Musiala all scored more than 15 goals last season.
Defender Kim Min-Jae was the biggest signee of the season, coming from Napoli for 30 million Euros, while Bayern made big money selling Sadio Mane and Lucas Hernandez.
Leipzig finished third in the Bundesliga last season, five points behind Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. They won the DFB-Pokal to reach the Super Cup for the second straight season. Manager Marco Rose is back again this season, and Leipzig have added some key players up top after making some major sales as well.
Leipzig sold defender Josko Gvardiol this week for 90 million Euros after previously selling midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai for 70 million and Chris Nkunku for 60 million, with all three going to England. RB added forward Benjamin Sesko and midfielder Nicolas Seiwald, both from RB Salzburg, while Christoph Baumgartner joined from 1899 Hoffenheim, and striker Lois Openda came in from Lens.
Leipzig had a rough preseason in Austria with a 2-1 loss to Italian side Udinese, a 1-0 loss to lower-division English side Ipswich Town and a 0-0 draw against Werder Bremen. They finished the preseason with a 3-0 win over newly promoted La Liga team Las Palmas, as Openda scored twice and Sesko netted his first goal.
Bayern will be without usual starters Choupo-Muting, Thomas Muller, and goalkeeper Manuel Neuer for this game.
RB Leipzig will be missing Baumgartner, Andre Silva, Lukas Klosterman, and likely Amadou Haidara.
The key absences for both teams impact the Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig betting analysis and prediction.
Moneyline: When looking at the free soccer picks, Bayern Munich are favored on the moneyline at -185. RB Leipzig is a +390 moneyline underdog, and a 90-minute draw is listed at +240.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals is -182, and under 2.5 goals is +130.
The Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig betting analysis leans to the hosts winning this game as both teams score. Bayern have more experience, and Leipzig are still coming together chemistry-wise with all the moves they had.
- With the crowd at their back, look for Bayern Munich to lift the cup 3-1.
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