Bears vs. Commanders: Week 6 Preview, Prediction, Odds, Matchup

Bears vs. Commanders will kick off at 7:15 PM CT on Thursday in Chicago. The weather forecast calls for mostly clear skies and a temperature in the mid-low 40s. It could be windy, with gusts up to 20 MPH.

Bears vs. Commanders is a betting line. The spread and projected spreads are according to DVOA, EPA, Poisson, LinReg, PFF, and 538’s models for Bears vs Commander.

Bears and Commanders have different betting records. Bears have been home favorites only six times since 2020. Washington Football Commander have won 13 times in 38 games since Ron Rivera took over. The Commandery's head coach has gone 17-10 ATS.

Advanced stat rankings for the 2021 season are shown for Bears and Commanders here.

The Commanders' offensive and defensive starters rank in the 54th and 92nd percentile respectively for their position from 2020-2022. The Bears' positional rankings can be seen in their Extra Points section.

The Commanders' offense has struggled in Weeks 2 through 4. They have taken a sack 12 times in 86 pass plays and have lost on average 8.8 points at halftime. The team is averaging 4,4 yards per play in the first half of games.

Washington's offense is going to feature a lot of motion. Curtis Samuel has led the Commanders in targets through the first five games. Carson Wentz has struggled with short throws. He has accounted for three turnover-worthy plays throwing to the short area of the field and behind the line of scrimmage. WentZ has some serious arm strength and wants to use it. The Commander's have snuck themselves back into games a few times this year. Bears' defense will need to limit big plays in the second half if they do get out to an early lead.

Trai Turner was a liability in both the run game and pass protection for the first few weeks of the season. In Week 4, the Commanders switched to rookie offensive guard Saahdiq Charles. Charles has a grade of 42.6, per PFF. The Commander's have started to find success with outside-zone concepts recently.

The Commanders are a team that plays a lot of Cover 1 and Cover 3. The defensive line is one of the best in the NFL. They play a disciplined brand of football. Their secondary plays aggressively but is prone to coverage busts. The Bears are looking to exploit this. Chicago is looking for some deep shots. It's possible that the Commander's defense will give them some opportunities to do that.

Ron Rivera's defensive unit is ranked ninth in the NFL in blitz rate. Washington may not need to blitz to get after the QB, but Rivera needs to do it. The man coverage concepts tend to fall apart when the quarterback scrambles and the WRs go into the scramble drill. Justin Fields will have to keep his eyes up while on the move.

Justin Fields' PFF grades have risen from 40.8 in Week 2 to 77.9 in week 5. He has given us some big-time throws over the last few games and fewer turnover-worthy plays. His completion percentage and yards per attempt continue to improve. The Bears are supposed to win this game.