Bills vs. Buccaneers props, odds, best bets, AI predictions, TNF picks: Josh Allen under 261.5 yards

The Buffalo Bills will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football to begin Week 8. Josh Allen and the Bills find themselves trailing the Dolphins in the AFC East standings, while Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are a half-game behind the Falcons in the NFC South standings. Both quarterbacks were top 10 picks in the NFL Draft, but Allen has become a superstar, while Mayfield is now starting for his fourth team . The latest NFL player props for Buccaneers vs. Bills list Allen's over/under for total passing yards at 261.5.

Mayfield has averaged 227.2 yards per game, so what side of the Baker Mayfield NFL props should you play on TNF? Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football in Week 8 or entering selections on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the Bills vs. Buccaneers NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine AI.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine's Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player's historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponents defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score. 

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. For example, you could see a 5-star rating on an over bet if a player is facing a poor defense, their prediction differs from the line and there are favorable odds.

In addition, SportsLine AI is the first fully automated predictive model at SportsLine. It continuously refreshes with the most recent available data and can help you spot the biggest discrepancies in the lines. So far this season, SportsLine AI has hit a whopping 325 4.5- and 5-star prop picks for a strong profit of $866 for $100 players.

For Buccaneers vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided Bills vs. Buccaneers prop picks for every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Bills vs. Buccaneers

After analyzing Bucs vs. Bills and examining the dozens of NFL player prop markets, SportsLine AI says Bills quarterback Josh Allen goes under 261.5 passing yards. The Pro Bowler has finished top three in AP NFL MVP voting in two of the last three seasons and is completing a career high 70.7% of his passes in 2023.

However, he's struggled with turnovers this season (seven interceptions and two lost fumbles) and is only averaging 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Allen has gone under 240 passing yards in three of four games this season and Tampa Bay has held three of the last five quarterbacks it has faced to 250 yards or fewer.

Game script might also be an issue for Allen's passing numbers, with Buffalo favored by 8.5 points at home. If the Bills mount an early lead as that spread suggests, expect offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey to turn to the running game late to wind clock. SportsLine AI predicts that Allen throws for only 231.5 yards and rates the Under as a four-star pick. .

How to make NFL player prop bets for Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo

In addition, SportsLine AI says another star sails past his total for a plus-money payout and has three other NFL props rated four stars or better. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Bills vs. Buccaneers prop bets for Thursday Night Football.