Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: TBS
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+135) Atlanta (-155)
Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (24-11) will go up against the Boston Red Sox (21-15) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Boston at +135 while Atlanta is opening at -155. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Nick Pivetta and Charlie Morton.
The Red Sox have recorded 80 doubles as a unit and have knocked 47 balls out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .452 and have been called out on strikes 276 times, while being walked on 118 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.8 runs per contest, which is 3rd in baseball. They have accumulated 199 RBI's and 336 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .271. They are sitting with 208 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .341.
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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 48 long balls in addition to 183 runs (26th in baseball). Boston has allowed 318 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 171 earned runs. The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.84 over the course of the season (23rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 301 hitters. They have walked 106 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.62 as a team on the campaign.
The Red Sox relievers have recorded a save percentage of 83.3% and has come into the game in 32 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 22 runners on the campaign and 45.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 14 times as well as having 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 114 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have 20 holds so far this year (11th in the league). They have accumulated 10 saves on the season and have not converted 2 out of their 12 save opportunities.
The Red Sox have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,862 innings, which ranks them 19th in the majors. The Boston Red Sox have 954 putouts this year, in addition to 316 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 25th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 28 double plays.
Pivetta (42-52 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.53 and he has faced 3,338 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 768 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 303 free passes. His ERA is 5.02 (430 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.388. Pivetta has pitched in 771 frames and is sitting with 818 strikeouts thus far in his career.
Atlanta has compiled 58 long balls this season to go along with 179 runs batted in. They have notched 63 doubles, while taking a walk 134 times as well as scoring 188 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with a team OBP of .340 as well as a batting average of .260 this season. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .464 and they have an average of 5.37 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 320 instances (6th in baseball) and have a total of 309 base knocks.
The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 132 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.49 (121 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 29 homers and they surrender 3.81 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.237 in addition to having a FIP of 3.60 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (331 strikeouts vs 106 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 280.
Atlanta has had relievers step onto the hill in 18 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves. They sit at 22nd in the league with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 118 relievers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 41 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.6% out of their 47 inherited base runners. With 44 save situations, the Braves have amassed 26 holds and also 8 blown saves.
In 2,808 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 67.8% (24th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 291 assists, 24 errors and have notched a total of 936 putouts this season.
Morton (119-104 career mark) has a 4.02 earned run average and has conceded 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has faced 7,838 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 818 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 3.8. During his MLB career, Morton has allowed 1,722 base hits and he has 1,729 strikeouts in 1,831 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+135)
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