Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction 8-29-23 MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox meet in game two of their three-game set from Fenway Park on Tuesday. The Astros got some revenge on Monday, can the Red Sox bounce back on Tuesday? Let’s dive in and find out.

Astros Throttle Red Sox In Opener

The Houston Astros managed to get some measure of revenge after being destroyed by Boston 17-1 in the series finale when these two met just a few days ago thanks to a 13-5 win over the Red Sox in Monday’s series opener. The win put the Astros up to 75-58 on the year, sitting a half game back in the AL West race while holding onto a Wild Card spot in the American League. Kyle Tucker leads the Astros across the board, hitting .293 with 139 hits, 26 home runs and 97 RBIs with 30 doubles while Alex Bregman has 21 homers with 87 RBIs and Yordan Alvarez has added 22 homers and 76 RBIs. Tucker also has a team-high 26 stolen bases this season. J.P. France will start for the Astros here and is 9-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season.

Houston Astros Team Facts

• The Astros have won each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday road games.
• The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Fenway Park.
• The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last six road games.

Red Sox Look To Rebound From Monday’s Loss

The Boston Red Sox will try to bounce back from a rare loss in their recent run, after taking the L in Monday’s game one. The loss set the Red Sox back to 69-63 on the year, 13.5 games back in the AL East and 5.5 games off the pace in the AL Wild Card race. Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with 134 hits and a .298 batting average and Justin Turner has a .361 OBP while Rafael Devers has a team-high 29 home runs and 88 RBIs. Jarren Duran’s also added a team-best 34 doubles and 24 stolen bases this season. Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox here and is 10-8 with a 3.56 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Astros and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Astros following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games as home favorites.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Red Sox ranks 1st in the league for doubles this season (288).
• The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (1204).
• The Houston Astros ranks 4th in the league for hits this season (1174).
• The Houston Astros are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.

Chris’ Pick

I’m looking at the over here. These are two teams on a strong, strong run of overs right now, and both can’t stop scoring runs in bunches. The concern for the Astros for me was batting against right-handed pitching, but those concerns were shut down when the Astros piled ten runs onto Kyle Barraclough, a righty reliever, in 4+ innings on Monday. I think this just ends up being a high-scoring affair, so give me the over here.