Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres
Date: Friday, May 19, 2023
Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+145) San Diego (-170)
Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (20-24) will take on the Boston Red Sox (24-20) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Boston at +145 while San Diego is coming in at -170. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are James Paxton and Blake Snell.
The Red Sox have earned 100 doubles as a team and have hit 55 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging % of .451 and have struck out 341 times, while being walked on 144 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are recording 5.6 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in the league. They have compiled 238 runs batted in and 411 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .272. They are sitting with 248 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .342.
They have a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 61 home runs and also 232 runs (27th in baseball). Boston has given up 399 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 216 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 5.00 on the campaign (26th in the league), and their staff has struck out 371 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 137 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.68 as a squad this year.
The Red Sox have sent 140 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 base runners this year and 48.4% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 11 saves this year and have missed out on 5 of their 16 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 68.8% and stepped onto the hill in 40 save situations. The bullpen have 24 holds on the season (10th in MLB). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 20 times in addition to having 30 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Red Sox have turned 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,501 innings on the field, which has them ranked 22nd in the majors. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 1,167 putouts on the year, as well as 391 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball, and have a total of 33 double plays.
Paxton has pitched in 759 frames and has totaled 840 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 3.59 (303 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.211. He has conceded 688 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 232 free passes. Paxton (57-33 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.30 while he has faced 3,150 hitters in the major leagues.
The Padres hold a slugging % of .382 and they score 3.91 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have 77 doubles, while getting a free base 183 times and scoring 172 runs. San Diego has accumulated 46 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 162 RBIs. They have struck out on 393 instances (9th in the league) and have 325 base knocks. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .317 in addition to a batting average of .226 this season.
The Padres have a WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (372 strikeouts vs 153 bases on balls). They come in at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 340. They have surrendered 50 homers and they relinquish 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 180 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.97 (172 earned runs yielded).
San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.6% out of their 48 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 51 times in high leverage situations in addition to 31 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 50 save situations, the Padres have earned 29 holds and also 8 blown saves. They rank 19th in MLB with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 136 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. San Diego has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 21 save opportunities and they have tallied 13 saves.
In their 3,516 innings played, the Padres hold a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (2nd in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 33 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .993 (1st in pro baseball). The Padres have racked up 386 assists, 11 errors and have a total of 1,172 putouts so far this season.
During his pro baseball career, Snell has allowed 698 hits while earning 1,032 strikeouts in 853 frames. He has conceded 329 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.259 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has faced 3,560 batters in his pro baseball career. Snell (58-51 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.47 ERA while giving up 7.4 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-170)
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