Braves vs Mets Picks, Predictions & Starting Pitchers ( May 1)

After some brutal weather across the last two days in Flushing, the Atlanta Braves (18-9, 11-2 away) and New York Mets (15-12, 5-5 home) will attempt to wrap up their series on Monday. Game 2 is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET at Citi Field. Keep reading for the Braves vs Mets picks.

We have an intriguing matchup on the mound as Charlie Morton and Tylor Megill go toe to toe.

Braves vs Mets Odds

Both teams sit at -108 moneyline odds but the Braves are favored by 1.5 runs on the runline. Atlanta has won five in a row against the Mets, covering in four of those meetings.

Odds as of April 30th at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Atlanta vs New York Probable Pitchers

Although Morton is now 39 years old, he’s still very effective. The righty is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA in five starts, serving as one of the Braves’ most consistent arms. Morton is coming off arguably his best outing of 2023 as well, tossing seven clean innings against the Marlins, surrendering just one earned run while striking out nine.

The Mets are a club Morton has faced a lot in his long career, compiling a 3.66 ERA in 18 appearances. But last year, the veteran struggled versus New York with an ERA of 4.98.

Morton vs Megill Stats

Megill has been the best starter for the Mets outside of Max Scherzer and is doing a good job of trying to fill the void of the injured Justin Verlander, who is expected to make his season debut soon. Megill is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA in five outings to go along with a 1.48 WHIP.

The 6 foot 7 right-hander is running on seven days rest because he was actually supposed to pitch Saturday but that game was a rainout. Megill didn’t do all that well in his most recent start, allowing four earned in four innings against the Giants. He owns a 3.86 ERA lifetime against the Braves.

ATL vs NYM – Last 10 Games

Braves Looking Dominant

By no surprise, the Braves are at the top of the National League East with an 18-9 record. They’ve actually gone 11-2 on the road as well, which is extremely impressive. With one of the best MLB lineups around, Atlanta is scoring 5.1 runs per game, slashing .255 as a team, and sits fourth in the bigs with 41 long balls.

As you can see, the Braves tend to dominate the Mets, their biggest divisional foe. Brian Snitker’s squad has also won six of their last seven games away from Truist Park.

Not a Great Start for Mets

For a ballclub that spent millions in the offseason, New York isn’t living up to expectations, sitting just three games above .500. Sure, you can blame it partly on injuries, but the cold hard facts are the Mets need to start finding some consistency. Their offense is extremely average and the pitching staff isn’t exactly shining, either.

Buck Showalter’s group is just 4-6 in their last 10 games and even lost a series to the lowly Nationals before the Braves came to town. To make matters worse, Scherzer is still banned but he’s expected to start Tuesday against the Tigers. Once Verlander is officially back as well, it should help a lot.

Braves vs Mets Picks

The Braves are rolling and truly have New York’s number. I expect the visitors to take the finale, with Morton putting his best foot forward.