Bucks vs. Pacers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Friday matchup

The Indiana Pacers welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to Indianapolis for a Central Division matchup at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. Milwaukee is favored by 8 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 240 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Bucks vs. Pacers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 47-22 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Bucks fly around on defense. Milwaukee sits in the top three of the NBA in defensive efficiency and opponents are shooting only 45.5% against the Bucks. That includes excellent marks against 3-pointers (35.0%) and 2-pointers (51.6%), with Milwaukee also securing 73.8% of available defensive rebounds after forcing a missed shot. The model also knows the Pacers excel in transition. Indiana forces 15.8 turnovers per game on defense, a top-five mark in the NBA, and that leads to the league's best average in fast break points at 18.8 per game. Given that Milwaukee creates fewer than 13 turnovers per game on defense, that is an area of advantage for Indiana.

Now, it has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pacers. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.