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By now, the recent struggles of the Cowboys are well-known.
In another disappointing road performance, Dallas regressed away from AT&T Stadium, managing only 10 points after five consecutive games of scoring at least 33.
The Bills displayed greater hunger, motivation and physicality throughout the game.
Remarkably, Dallas fell short of even reaching 200 yards (195 total), marking its worst performance of the season.
However, this doesn’t automatically translate to a negative outlook for their upcoming game in Miami on Sunday.
Priced as 1.5-point underdogs, it seems oddsmakers share a similar sentiment.
The line has remained unchanged throughout the week, suggesting that both sharp bettors and bookmakers consider Dallas the stronger team. Home teams typically receive a two- to three-point advantage, and this holds true for Miami, a team that has lost only once at home all season (#RememberTheTitans).
On the flip side, Miami showcased a dominant performance in Week 15, securing a 30-0 shutout against the Jets in sunny South Florida.
Rectifying their mistakes from the previous week against a formidable New York defense, Miami out-gained their division rival 290-103, an impressive feat considering the game was essentially over at halftime (26-0). The Dolphins’ defense recorded six sacks on Zach Wilson and forced four turnovers, marking their most dominating effort of the year.
If the Dolphins’ performance last week accurately reflects their true capabilities and the Cowboys’ display was as lackluster as it seemed, the spread would likely be considerably different.
However, oddsmakers acknowledge that Dallas remains a genuine contender, unquestionably one of the top three teams in the NFC, if not higher.
Following their defensive lapses against Buffalo, allowing 266 rushing yards and conceding 28 first downs, Dallas is expected to come back with a vengeance.
The same determination is anticipated from their offense, a unit that appeared prolific heading into last Sunday.
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL
Fortunately for Dallas, the game in Miami will enjoy perfect football weather—sunny with temperatures around 70 degrees at game time and mild winds.
While recommending teasing up Dallas by six points for added value in a redemption spot, we still favor the Cowboys as the short underdog in this contest.
Miami has struggled against teams we consider “elite,” maintaining an average -16.3 point differential against Buffalo, Philadelphia and Kansas City this season.
Expecting Dallas to bounce back strongly after an embarrassing loss, we remain skeptical of Miami’s ability to rise to the occasion in such situations.
Pick: Cowboys ML +100
- Then, they’ll need to make a cash deposit to register their account and place a cash wager to trigger this promotion within the first 30 days of registering their account. Bonus bets earned from this offer will be valid for 14 days after distribution.
- If that new wager loses, they’ll get their full stake back in bonus bets — capped at $1,000.
- Bonus bets earned from this offer will be distributed in one sum, rather than daily or incremental.
- This Caesars Sportsbook promotion is currently available in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, or WY.
