Can Orioles Defy Betting History Again in 2024?
It’s hard to cover 55 percent of run lines in a 162-game season. Only 44 teams did it from 2007-23, or 9 percent of all teams.
It’s damn hard to cover 55 percent of run lines in consecutive seasons. Only two teams did it from 2007-23 — not including results from the shortened 2020 season — or 0.4 percent of all teams.
The Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers in 2023 became the first teams since the Chicago White Sox in 2005-06 to cover at least 55 percent of their run lines in consecutive seasons.
2023 Orioles: .593
2022 Orioles: .599
2023 Dodgers: .568
2022 Dodgers: .599
History suggests a third straight .550 season from either team is highly unlikely. But history suggested the same thing last year when both teams delivered sizable returns to committed bettors.
The Orioles and Dodgers ranked first and second among teams in run-line ROI at 14 and 9.3 percent, respectively. For example, if you bet $100 on each of their 162 run lines, you would’ve won nearly $4,000.
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