Charlotte vs. Tulane Prediction, Preview, and Odds

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Charlotte vs. Tulane Prediction, Preview, and Odds

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On January 27th at 4:00 PM ET, the American Athletic Conference witnesses an intriguing matchup as the high-flying Tulane Green Wave, ranked in the middle of the conference, host the defensively stout Charlotte 49ers, sitting near the top, in the Avron B. Fogelman Arena in Devlin Fieldhouse. Both teams share a 12-7 record, promising a tightly contested battle.

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49ers' Defensive Dominance Displayed

The Charlotte 49ers, currently standing in a dominant spot in the American Athletic Conference with a 12-7 (6-1) record, have been carving a niche for themselves with their formidable defense. They excel in stifling opponents, allowing a mere 64.4 points per game, a testament to their defensive prowess that ranks them 26th nationwide. This defensive efficiency is further bolstered by limiting adversaries to a 42.1% shooting (109th nationally) and a commendable 31.6% from the three-point line (91st). However, the defensive discipline of Charlotte does not translate as effectively on offense. Averaging just 69.0 points per game places them at a modest 303rd nationally. Their field goal efficiency stands at 45.6% (138th), while three-point attempts find the net at a lower 32.2% (255th). Free throw accuracy is a brighter spot, with a 74.5% success rate (70th), but a lackluster rebounding average of 32.2 per game could prove costly against more aggressive teams.

A recent matchup against UAB showcased the 49ers’ resilience and tactical acumen. Despite their offensive challenges, they managed a commendable victory, with key contributions from their standout performers. Lu'Cye Patterson, leading in scoring with 14.3 points per game, along with Igor Milicic Jr.’s impressive 7.9 rebounds per game, have been pivotal. Dishon Jackson’s contributions can’t be overstated, leading the team with a 53.9% shooting accuracy and 1.1 blocks per game, fortifying both ends of the court. The 49ers' strategy of controlled, defensive gameplay has been effective, but the upcoming contest against Tulane's high-powered offense will be a true test of their mettle.

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Green Wave's Scoring Surge

The Tulane Green Wave, middling in the American Athletic Conference with an identical 12-7 (3-4) record, presents a stark contrast to Charlotte’s playstyle, boasting one of the most potent offenses in the nation. Scoring an impressive 85.9 points per game, they rank seventh nationally, underlining their offensive capabilities. This scoring prowess is backed by a remarkable field goal percentage of 49.2 (16th) and a solid 36.5 from beyond the arc (59th). Their free throw shooting is also efficient at 73.9% (85th). However, Tulane's offense overshadows their less impressive defensive performance, where they allow a hefty 79.5 points per game (342nd nationally). Their opponents’ field goal success stands at 42.9% (150th), and they struggle to contain three-point shots, allowing a 34.4% success rate (259th). The rebounding numbers don't fare much better, with the team averaging 33.1 rebounds per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities against teams that excel in crashing the boards.

— Tulane Men's Basketball (@GreenWaveMBB) January 25, 2024

In their recent road outing against UTSA, the Green Wave’s offensive strength was on full display, but it also highlighted their defensive frailties in the narrow 89-88 defeat. Kevin Cross has been the linchpin for Tulane, leading the team with 17.6 points, 4.5 assists, and 7.9 rebounds per game. His all-around impact is complemented by Percy Daniels’ efficient shooting, leading the team with a remarkable 70.0% field goal accuracy. Kolby King’s defensive contributions, averaging 1.9 steals per game, add a crucial element to their play. Tulane’s strategy revolves around outscoring opponents through sheer offensive firepower, a tactic that has brought them considerable success. However, against a defensively sound team like the Charlotte 49ers, they'll need to find a balance between their explosive scoring and tightening up their defense to secure a win.

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Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Tulane Green Wave, with their seventh-ranked national scoring offense averaging an astounding 85.9 points per game, are poised to capitalize on their home-court advantage against the Charlotte 49ers. Their offensive dynamism, fueled by a 49.2% shooting efficiency (16th nationally) and a formidable 36.5% accuracy from the three-point line (59th), sets them apart. Kevin Cross, spearheading Tulane’s charge with 17.6 points per game, is likely to be a decisive factor in this matchup. The Green Wave's offensive strategy is further enhanced by their fast-paced gameplay, with an adjusted tempo of 73.1, ranking them 15th in the country. This high-tempo approach is tailored to exploit any lapses in Charlotte’s defense and maintain a scoring rate that the 49ers' slower, more deliberate style may struggle to counter. Trust in the Green Wave's offensive prowess and strategic tempo management makes them a confident pick for victory in this encounter.

Prediction: Tulane Green Wave to cover

Full-Game Total Pick

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Given the contrasting styles of play, the total score for this game is predicted to go over. The Tulane Green Wave’s blistering offense, averaging 85.9 points per game and ranked 7th in the nation, is set to challenge the Charlotte 49ers' defensive structure. The Green Wave’s rapid adjusted tempo of 73.1 (15th nationally) is a critical factor, likely to increase the game's pace and overall scoring. Charlotte’s defensive stats, conceding only 64.4 points per game (26th nationally), will be tested against Tulane’s relentless offensive barrage. While the 49ers have demonstrated defensive efficiency, Tulane’s capacity to push the tempo and score efficiently from various spots on the floor suggests a high-scoring affair. Expect a game where Tulane's offensive pressure and fast pace significantly contribute to surpassing the projected total score.

Prediction: OVER

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