Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+130) Atlanta (-155)
The Chicago Cubs (82-74) are headed to Truist Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Atlanta Braves (100-56). The odds on this game have the Cubs at +130 while the Braves are opening at -155. The total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Justin Steele and Bryce Elder.
The Cubs have hit 262 doubles as a squad and have smacked 189 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .422 and have been called out on strikes 1,333 times, while taking a walk on 550 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 7th in baseball. They have compiled 760 runs batted in and 1,349 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .255. They have racked up 792 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .331.
Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. Cubs pitchers have given up 171 long balls and also 691 total runs (14th in MLB). Chicago has surrendered 1,279 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 625 earned runs. The Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.06 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,321 batters. They have walked 489 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.15 as a squad this year.
The Cubs have dispatched 487 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 210 base runners on the season and 28.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have tallied 34 saves for the year and have blown 18 of their 52 save opportunities. The Cubs relievers have a save rate of 65.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 132 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 79 holds over the course of the season (18th in the league). Cubs pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 127 times and also have had 140 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Cubs have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,456 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 12th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 4,152 putouts this year, in addition to 1,432 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which has them ranked 18th in baseball, and they have turned 131 double plays.
Steele has thrown 344 innings and has accumulated 355 punch outs in his MLB career. Steele (24-16 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.48 and he has gone up against 1,454 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.27 (125 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.262. He has allowed 322 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 112 walks.
The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .501 and they earn 5.83 runs per game (1st in the league). They have 279 doubles, while taking a walk 518 times and scoring 909 runs. Atlanta has a total of 299 long balls so far this year as well as 881 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,235 instances (26th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,481 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have tallied an on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .275 on the campaign.
The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.295 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,468 strikeouts against 514 bases on balls). They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,279. They have given up 180 long balls and they give up 4.41 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 679 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.08 (628 earned runs conceded).
Atlanta has had relievers step onto the hill in 72 save chances and they have walked away with 49 saves. They are currently ranked 7th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.1%, and they have dispatched 510 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 124 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.8% out of 182 inherited base runners. Sitting with 169 save situations, the Braves have compiled 96 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.
The Atlanta Braves have turned 132 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Braves have 1,280 assists, 80 errors and have a tally of 4,155 putouts this season. In their 12,465 innings on the diamond, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in MLB).
Elder (14-8 career mark) is the owner of a 3.52 ERA while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.11 and he has faced 937 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 88 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 4.3. During his career, Elder has given up 197 base knocks while totaling 173 strikeouts in 225 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-155)
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