Chiefs vs. Bengals Free NFL Betting Picks for the AFC Championship (2023)
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, January 29th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bengals @ Chiefs
The Bengals take on the Chiefs on Sunday, January 29th at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (14-3)
- Date: Sunday, January 29th, 2023
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bengals @ Chiefs
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Cincinnati Bengals - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into the AFC Conference Championship, the Bengals are looking to add another win after knocking off Buffalo Bills by a score of 27-10. Not only did the Bengals win the game, but they also covered the spread as a 5.5-point underdog. The over-under betting total going into the game was 48, which the teams did not surpass. Despite being the 5.5-point underdogs heading into the game, the Bengals held a 14-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. Through 18 games, the Bengals have an ATS record of 13-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-10-1. This week's betting total of 46.5 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Bengals prepare to take on Kansas City, they have played well on offense, ranking seventh in points per game at 26.1. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Chiefs defense giving up 21.6 points per game (15th). Throughout the game, Cincinnati should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the fifth ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, Cincinnati is just the 29th-ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Chiefs picked up a Divisional Round win after taking down the Jacksonville Jaguars by a score of 27-20. Going into the matchup, the Chiefs were -9.5 point favorites and did not cover the spread. The team's combined scoring of 47 points fell below the posted betting line of 52. In their win over Jacksonville, the Chiefs held a 10-point lead heading into the fourth quarter at 20-10. Through 18 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 6-12. So far, they have an over-under record of 8-10. This week's betting total of 46.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Chiefs prepare to take on Cincinnati, they have played well on offense, ranking first in points per game at 29.1. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's fifth-ranked scoring defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 293.3 yards per game through the air. Although the Bengals' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, the Chiefs are the 20th-ranked team in rush yards per game at 117.4.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bengals vs. Chiefs
Over the last five matchups between Cincinnati and Kansas City, the Bengals have won four of the last five games. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 55.8 points. Heading into the second meeting of the season between these two teams, the Bengals already have a win over the Chiefs. In the previous matchup, Cincinnati won by a score of 27-24. In addition to winning the game, the Bengals covered the spread as -1.5 point favorites.
The Cincinnati Bengals have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-1. The Bengals' offense has averaged 26.8 points per game over the five most recent meetings with Kansas City, compared to the Chiefs at 29.0.
Through their last three games, the Bengals have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 1-2 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
Cincinnati has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27.67 points per game while allowing 17.0. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Over their last three regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 3-0 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
In their last three home games, Kansas City averaged 26.0 points per game while allowing 18.0. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 1-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bengals -1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 46.5
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