Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, June 1, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+140) Boston (-165)

The Cincinnati Reds (25-29) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (28-26). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +140 while Boston is sitting at -165. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Greene and Chris Sale.

The Reds have accumulated 101 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 42 balls out of the park. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .393 and have been called out on strikes 491 times, while being walked on 192 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 12th in the league. They have accrued 242 runs batted in in addition to 469 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .257. They have a total of 251 runs and have an OBP of .334.

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The Reds have an ERA of 4.96 so far this year (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 489 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 65 home runs and 274 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 197 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a team this year. Cincinnati has conceded 499 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 262 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.48 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.46.

The Reds have sent 191 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 108 runners on the campaign and 32.4% of those runners crossed home plate. They have recorded 16 saves so far this season and have not converted 8 of their 24 chances to get a save. The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 51 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 25 holds on the year (25th in the league). Reds pitchers have entered the game with players on base 75 times as well as having 69 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have transformed 66.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,278 innings on the field, which has them sitting 30th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 1,426 putouts for the season, in addition to 429 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 8th in the majors, and they have turned 42 double plays.

Greene has taken the ball for 181 innings and is sitting with 244 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.36 (88 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.261. He has given up 159 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 70 free passes. Greene (6-17 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.14 and he has gone up against 775 hitters in the major leagues.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .432 and they are recording 5.20 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have recorded 120 doubles, while walking 175 times as well as notching 281 runs. Boston has 61 home runs for the season as well as 271 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 431 occasions (26th in baseball) and have earned 489 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .334 and a team batting average of .264 so far this year.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.323 and have a FIP of 4.66 as a unit on the season. They are sitting at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 465. The Boston pitching staff have yielded 271 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.75 (250 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (450 strikeouts against 162 free passes). They have allowed 76 homers and they relinquish 5.15 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 19 save chances and they have walked away with 14 saves. They sit at 4th in the league with a save percentage of 73.7%, and they have dispatched 163 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 36 times in high leverage situations and on 23 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.4% out of their 36 inherited runners. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 27 holds and 5 blown saves.

Out of their 4,266 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (16th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 37 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 466 assists, 34 errors and have amassed 1,422 putouts so far this year.

Sale (119-77 career mark) is the owner of a 3.08 earned run average while surrendering 7.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 5.31 and he has faced 6,985 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 594 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.046 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. So far in his MLB career, Sale has given up 1,412 base hits while accumulating 2,129 strikeouts in 1,733 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+140)

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