Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+136) Cincinnati (-162)

The Cincinnati Reds (62-58) will play the Cleveland Guardians (57-62) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cleveland at +136 while Cincinnati is priced at -162. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Noah Syndergaard and Andrew Abbott.

The Guardians have accrued 220 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 87 balls out of the park. Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .381 and have struck out 828 times, while taking a walk on 345 occasions. As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have compiled 452 runs batted in as well as 1,014 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is .251. They have tallied 485 runs and have an on-base percentage of .313.

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The Guardians hold a team ERA of 3.80 over the course of the season (4th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 952 batters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 120 home runs and also 485 runs in total (5th in the league). They have walked 373 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.11 as a team so far this year. Cleveland has conceded 979 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 448 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Guardians bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 104 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 71 holds this season (7th in the league). The Guardians relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.6% and has come into the game in 134 save situations. They have earned 34 saves on the campaign and have blown 24 out of their 58 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 144 base runners this season and 21.5% of them crossed the plate. The Guardians have sent 387 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have a total of 3,186 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,049 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have a total of 87 double plays. The Guardians have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,558 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in the majors.

Syndergaard (59-46 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.29 while going up against 3,831 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 894 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 210 walks. His ERA is 3.65 (375 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.194. Syndergaard has pitched in 925 frames and has earned 918 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a team batting average of .251 on the year. They have struck out on 1,106 instances (5th in MLB) and have a total of 1,021 base knocks. Cincinnati has a total of 139 HRs for the year and 559 runs batted in. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .417 and they score 4.84 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have hit 208 doubles, while taking a walk 410 times as well as earning 581 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 603 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.80 (570 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 169 home runs and they concede 5.08 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.417 with a FIP of 4.83 as a unit this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,019 strikeouts vs 444 free passes). They have a ranking of 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,069.

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.3% out of 237 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 183 times in high leverage situations and also on 169 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Reds have 72 holds and also 19 blown saves. They rank 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 443 relievers to the hill so far this season. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 62 save chances and they have come away with 43 saves.

Out of their 9,615 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (21st in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 95 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in pro baseball). The Reds have accrued 974 assists, 59 errors and have a total of 3,205 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Abbott has surrendered 58 base hits while earning 83 punch outs in 76 innings pitched. He has given up 25 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.114 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.07 and he has faced 307 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Abbott (7-3 career win-loss record) has a 2.95 ERA and has surrendered 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+136)

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