Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros 8/1/2023 Picks Predictions

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01 August 2023

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros 8/1/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Cleveland Guardians will go against the Houston Astros in MLB action in Minute Maid Park, TX, on Tuesday, August 1, 2023, at 8:10 PM ET.

The Guardians have a 53-54 record and hold second place in the American League Central Division after finishing 14-12 in July.

The Astros surged into the second spot in the American League West Division with a 10-6 record since the All-Star break and a 60-47 overall record.

Despite having a .500 record this season, the Guardians are still in the division’s hunt. One of their best prospects, Gavin Williams, struggled on the mound, giving up 14 runs in 37.2 innings thrown.

Williams’ opponents connected and strung quality plate appearances to easily score runs with a .268 anticipated opponent batting average, a 10.8 Walk Rate, and a 4.74 predicted ERA.

Williams had trouble on the mound, but the team’s lineup was its biggest letdown, scoring only 4.16 runs per game. Josh Naylor’s batting line is 293/.361/.510 with 18 home runs and 206 total bases.

The rest of the batting order struggled, hitting just 308/.347/.504 with 15 home runs and 180 total bases. Opposition pitchers might limit the top-heavy lineup because only three batters have an OPS+ above 100.

In this campaign, the Guardians used 345 relief pitchers. Pitchers in the bullpen inherited 123 base runners this season, and 22.8% scored a run for their side.

They recorded 31 saves this year while missing 21 of their 52 save opportunities. The Guardians’ relievers entered the game in 114 save situations with a 59.6% save percentage.

Bullpen pitchers have 58 holds this season, ranking 14th in MLB. In addition to making 128 appearances in high-leverage situations, Guardians pitchers entered the game 93 times with runners on base for the opposition.

The Guardians are 6-13 SU in their last 19 matches against the Astros.
The total went OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 matches on the road.
The Cleveland Guardians are 2-7 SU in their last 9 matches on the road against Houston.

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The Astros are having a fantastic year and appear ready to challenge for the division title. Despite being one of the team’s finest pitchers, Framber Valdez is having a difficult season, giving up 46 runs in 126 innings worked.

In addition, opponents are making contact and readily scoring runs against Valdez this season, as seen by a.249 predicted opponent batting average, a 46.5 hard-hit percentage, and a 4.08 expected ERA.

Although Valdez is having a difficult season, the Astros lineup improved, scoring 4.77 runs per game on average and 5.93 runs since the All-Star break.

The remainder of the lineup improved as well, with Yordan Alvarez hitting .286/.394/.594 with 18 home runs and 129 total bases and Chas McCormick hitting .285/.372/.526 with 13 home runs and 120 total bases.

The Astros are difficult to stop at the bat because of Kyle Tucker’s .299/.380/.511 slash line, 18 home runs, and 193 total bases.

Alex Bregman and Yainer Diaz contributed 31 home runs and 224 total bases to the bottom half of the lineup.

The Astros accumulated 58 holds, and 16 missed saves out of 107 save opportunities. In 48 save opportunities, Houston used bullpen pitchers to enter the game, and they have 32 saves to their credit.

Their relievers entered the game 62 times with runners on and 111 times in high-pressure situations. A 33.0% of 100 inherited base runners result in a score for Houston

bullpen pitchers. They rank 11th in baseball maintaining a save rate of 66.7%, and they dispatched 336 relievers to the hill throughout the season.

The total went OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 matches.
The Houston Astros are 8-4 SU in their last 12 matches.
The total went OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 matches at home.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros. The MLB pick for this game is the Houston Astros. The Astros should step up and take control of this game even though the Guardians are trying to gain ground in their division.

With Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and the rest of the offense making contact and pounding pitches against the Guardians pitchers to easily plate baserunners, the Astros, who average 4.77 runs per game, could score runs at will.

If Framber Valdez steps up and throws several scoreless innings, the Astros could contain a Guardians lineup that only scores 4.16 runs per game on average, allowing the bullpen to finish the game with a commanding advantage.

The Astros should win convincingly at home and cover the spread. The Houston Astros will win to a predicted score of 8-2.

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