Corentin Moutet vs. Sebastian Baez odds, tips and betting trends

On Tuesday, Corentin Moutet (No. 145 in the world) faces Sebastian Baez (No. 30) in the Round of 32 of the Rio Open presented by Claro. In this Round of 32 match, Baez is favored (-400) against Moutet (+280) .

Moutet heads into the Round of 32 after his two-set victory on Sunday over Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida (6-4, 6-3) in the qualifying round.

Baez lost in two sets the last time he competed, falling 1-6, 4-6 to Federico Coria at the quarterfinals of the Argentina Open on February 16, 2024.

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 7:09 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Moutet vs. Baez match information

• Tournament: The Rio Open presented by Claro
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Tuesday, February 20
• Venue: Jockey Club Brasileiro
• Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
• Court Surface: Clay

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• Moutet has played 23.7 games per match (21.5 in best-of-three matches) in his 28 matches over the past 12 months (across all court surfaces).
• Moutet has played seven matches on clay over the past year, and 27.6 games per match (24.2 in best-of-three matches).
• Moutet has won 20.8% of his return games over the past 12 months, and 69.8% of his service games.
• On clay, Moutet has won 66.7% of his service games and 20.6% of his return games over the past 12 months.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages over his last 10 tournaments, Moutet has won 60.4% of his games on serve, and 23% on return.
• Including all surfaces over the past year, Moutet has converted 31.2% of his break-point opportunities (55 of 176).
• Moutet has converted 41.8% of his break-point chances (23 of 55) over his last 10 tournaments.

• Baez has averaged 23.8 games per match (22.1 in best-of-three matches) in his 59 matches played in the past year across all court surfaces, while winning 50.6% of the games.
• On clay, Baez has played 32 matches and averaged 23.1 games per match (22.3 in best-of-three matches) and 9.7 games per set.
• Baez is 515-for-698 in service games (a winning percentage of 73.8%) and 196-for-706 in return games (27.8%) on all surfaces.
• Baez has a 74.2% winning percentage in service games on clay courts, and a 30.9% winning percentage in return games.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages over his last 10 tournaments, Baez has won 72.6% of his games on serve, and 23.9% on return.
• Baez’s 42.2% break point win percentage (189-for-448) ranks 189th in the past 12 months.
• Baez has converted 50 of 117 break points (42.7%) over his last 10 tournaments.

• Moutet and Baez met in the Hamburg European Open Round of 32 on July 12, 2021. Baez took it 6-1, 6-2.
• Baez and Moutet have played two sets, and Baez has won each of them.
• Baez has taken 12 games versus Moutet (80.0%), compared to Moutet’s three.
• Baez and Moutet have played one time, averaging 15 games and two sets per match.