Cub Swanson vs Hakeem Dawodu Pick, 8/12/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 78 Odds

Saturday, August 12, 2023

Cub Swanson will enter the Octagon with Hakeem Dawodu at UFC Vegas 78 on Saturday, August 12, 2023. The opening odds have Swanson at +195 while Dawodu is priced at -238.

Cub Swanson looks to add a win to his total of 28-13-0. The 39-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Hakeem "Mean" Dawodu measures 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 13-3-1. The 32-year-old has a reach of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Cub Swanson connects on 4.68 per min while Hakeem Dawodu is landing 5.33 significant strikes per minute. Swanson is landing 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Dawodu lands 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Swanson takes 3.73 significant strikes per minute and "Mean" takes 3.15. Swanson also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Dawodu is able to defend against 57% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Cub Swanson is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.09 times per 15 minutes. Swanson is finishing his takedown attempts on 52% of the times he tries and is stuffing 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Dawodu is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submission attempts, Swanson is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Dawodu goes for 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Cub Swanson faced Jonathan Martinez and was defeated via a kick to the leg at distance in round 2. Martinez ended up landing 66 of 106 total strikes that he let go. Swanson walked away from this fight having landed 60 of 88 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Martinez landed 62 of 102, which gave him a percentage of 60%. He landed 40 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Swanson landed 64% of his significant strikes by connecting on 51 of 79. Of all the significant strikes, he was 10 of 35 aimed at the head. 59% of the significant strikes landed by Martinez and 94% of them landed by Swanson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Hakeem Dawodu, he fought Julian Erosa and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Erosa connected on 64% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dawodu connected on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dawodu ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 74 of 147. He ended up landing 43 of 109 significant strikes aimed at the head. Erosa landed 92 of 188 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 60 of 149 aimed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Erosa connected on 152 of 257 and Dawodu landed 90 of 163 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Khalil Rountree Jr. encounters Chris Daukaus. Rountree Jr. walks into the Octagon with a mark of 12-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 76". Daukaus measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-6-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding grappling, Khalil Rountree Jr. scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds while Chris Daukaus takes his opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Rountree Jr. tags his opponents 3.67 strikes/minute and is connecting on 38% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Chris Daukaus, who is landing 50% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 6.41 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Tafon Nchukwi is set to battle AJ Dobson. Dobson looks to add a win to his career total of 6-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Nchukwi comes in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 6-3-0. The 28-year-old stretches 77". In the category of takedowns, AJ Dobson is able to thwart 64% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 80% of his tries. Nchukwi is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of the tries he takes and stops 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Dobson takes 6.00 strikes/min while he lands 4.34 per minute. Nchukwi, on the other side, takes 4.03 strikes per min and is connecting on 6.05 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Hakeem Dawodu (-238)

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