Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction

pickdawgz.com

03 August 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the San Francisco Giants in Game 4 of their series on Thursday afternoon at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Arizona won the first game of this series by a score of 4-3 on Monday, but the Giants bounced back with a 4-3 win on Tuesday and a 4-2 win on Wednesday.

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 57-52 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Prior to this series, Arizona lost eight of their last ten games, which dropped them to third place in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average this year. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 526 runs with a .255 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .275 with 21 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 0-4 with an 8.20 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 37.1 innings pitched this season.

Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 60-49 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three games against Boston and both games in their mini series with the Athletics. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 487 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. J.D. Davis is batting .260 with 14 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Giants. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Sean Manaea, who is 3-3 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this year.

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San Francisco Giants Team Facts

The Giants have lost four of their last five games as favourites against the Diamondbacks following a win.
The Giants have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favourites against National League opponents following a home win.
The Giants have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four Thursday day games as home favourites.
The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
The Diamondbacks have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

Wilmer Flores has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents at Oracle Park.
Wilmer Flores has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Wilmer Flores has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks at Oracle Park.
J.D. Davis has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Giants as favourites against the Diamondbacks.
Wilmer Flores has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The San Francisco Giants ranks 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (114).
The San Francisco Giants ranks 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1023).
The Arizona Diamondbacks are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (847).

Pick

Arizona has really played poorly over the last month and they have gone from first in the NL Central to third. San Francisco has played much better over that period and they are only a couple of games behind the Dodgers. The Giants are starting Sean Manaea, who has allowed six earned runs in his last 13.1 innings of work. The Diamondbacks are starting Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 3, 3, 6, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Pfaadt has bounced between the majors and Triple-A, but he has struggled to be productive for the Diamondbacks. I am going to fade Pfaadt and take the Giants here.