Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Odds, Player Props & Predictions (March 13)
Odds as of March 13 at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet promo code to wager on Warriors vs Mavericks.
Dallas holds the #8 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket at the moment, but are just one game back of #6 Phoenix with #7 Sacramento in between. The Warriors would be the #10 seed if the postseason started today. They are one game back of the #9 Lakers but 3.5 games out of an all-important top-six spot.
Golden State Trying to Tread Water Without Steph
When Curry went down late in the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bulls last Thursday, the Warriors had a three-point lead at home with under four minutes to play. But Golden State would go on to lose 125-122 to the sub-.500 Bulls, and things only got worse next game.
Golden State was borderline uncompetitive in a 126-113 home loss to the Spurs, who sit last in the West and were just 6-29 on the road prior to the win. San Antonio had a 19-point lead at halftime.
The Dubs got a measure of revenge in the back end of a home-and-home with the Spurs, though, winning 112-102 in San Antonio on Monday, led by 22 points from rising star Jonathan Kuminga.
Inserted back into the starting lineup, Klay Thompson added 21 points, going 4-of-10 from three. Chris Paul had one of his best games in a Warriors uniform, with 19 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists.
Doncic Powers Mavs to Three Straight Wins
Luka Doncic is on a torrid triple-double streak unlike anything the league has seen before. Doncic has recorded seven straight triple-doubles, and had scored at least 30 points in ten straight games before being “held” to just 27 in a 127-92 rout of Chicago last time out. He’s still a distant third-favorite to Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 2024 NBA MVP odds but is trending up in that market.
Kyrie Irving (25.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 4.9 APG) had a run of four straight 20-point games ended at Chicago, as well, scoring just 14 points on a night when the Mavs secondary scorers chipped in more than usual.
As a team, the Mavs have won three straight. In addition to the lopsided win at Chicago, they also downed Miami (114-108 home) and Detroit (142-124 away).
Dallas is currently sixth in the NBA in O-Rating (118.1) but just 22nd in D-Rating (116.9) and 14th in point differential (+1.3), which is actually slightly behind Golden State, despite sitting 2.5 games ahead of the Dubs in the standings.
Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props
Player props from DraftKings on March 6. Claim a DraftKings North Carolina promo prior to launch in NC on March 11.
Doncic leads the Golden State vs Dallas player props in every single category, with a point total of 34.5, assist total of 10.5, rebound total of 9.5, and three-point total of 4.5. His over/under is at least two higher than every other player in every category, aside from made-threes, where Klay Thompson is at 3.5.
Golden State vs Dallas Prediction
The Warriors were able to eke out a win against the lowly Spurs last time out, but on the whole their performance without Curry has been concerning (as it usually is). Dallas, on the other hand, is as healthy as its been all season and, in particular on offense, playing some of its best basketball of the season. I expect the Mavs to boatrace the shorthanded Warriors.
Warriors vs Mavericks pick: Mavericks -7 (-110) at DraftKings
Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:
- 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
- 19-17-2 ATS (+1.41 units)
- 0-1 over/under (-100 units)
- 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
- 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise
