Heat vs. Rockets odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Mar. 7 prediction from proven computer model

The Houston Rockets take on the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Miami is 43-22 overall and 22-7 at home, while Houston is 16-48 overall, 7-27 on road. The Heat won the first meeting of the season by 10 points on a road trip. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

SportsLine's computer model has picked Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets. The model is using its advanced computer simulations to make its picks.

Miami Heat are top of the Eastern Conference standings. They won 3-1 in their last four games. The Heat have 11 out of 12 games at home this season. Jimmy Butler leads Miami in scoring (21.4) and is second in assists (5.7). The team is 16-3 in its last 19 home games, including a run of 11 straight wins.

Houston Rockets are coming off a win over Memphis on Sunday night. Kevin Porter Jr. scored 29 points, including 19 in the third quarter. Christian Wood scored 28 points and pulled down 13 rebounds. Eric Gordon is injured and Dennis Schroder is questionable for Monday's game.

The model simulates Heat vs. Rockets 10,000 times and it's leaning Under. It also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. SportsLine's NBA pick is available at Sportsline.