Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins
Date: Tuesday, August 15, 2023
Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-125) Miami (+105)
loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (62-57) will take on the Houston Astros (68-51) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Houston at -125 and Miami is coming in at +105. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Cristian Javier and Johnny Cueto.
As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 7th in baseball. They have notched a total of 580 runs while holding a team OBP of .324. The Astros have tallied 193 doubles as a team and have hit 153 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 561 runs batted in and 1,015 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is sitting at .251. Houston is slugging .417 and have been rung up 947 times, while drawing a walk on 400 occasions.
They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Astros pitchers have conceded 142 long balls in addition to 494 runs in total (9th in MLB). Houston has conceded 951 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 445 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.77 this year (3rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,074 batters. They have walked 391 batters and their FIP is 4.25 as a unit so far this season.
Astros relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 72 times and also have had 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 64 holds on the campaign (15th in the league). The Astros bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 69.2% and has entered the game in 117 save situations. They have recorded 36 saves for the season and have blown 16 out of their 52 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 120 runners so far this season and 31.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 374 relief pitchers to the hill this year.
The Houston Astros have accounted for 3,185 putouts on the year, as well as 1,022 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 14th in MLB, and have accumulated 113 double plays. The Astros have turned 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of 9,555 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in baseball.
Javier has taken the ball for 422 frames and has earned 488 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Javier (28-14 career mark) has a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 1,715 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.41 (160 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.085. He has conceded 294 hits (6.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 164 free passes.
Miami has accumulated 111 home runs so far this season to go along with 463 RBIs. They have hit 192 two-baggers, while getting a free base 310 times and putting up 485 runs. The Miami Marlins have accumulated an OBP of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .262 this season. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .401 and they are recording 4.08 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have struck out on 955 instances (24th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,061 hits.
The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.275 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.70 (1,133 strikeouts vs 369 walks). They come in at 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 977. They have allowed 137 homers and they surrender 4.47 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 525 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.20 (493 earned runs surrendered).
With 126 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 71 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have earned 31 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 152 times in high leverage situations and also on 119 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of their 171 inherited runners. They sit at 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 399 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign.
In their 9,507 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,045 assists, 71 errors and are sitting with 3,169 putouts for the year.
So far in his pro baseball career, Cueto has given up 2,049 base hits while earning 1,835 K's in 2,219 innings. He has allowed 855 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.205 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.93 and he has gone up against 9,210 batters so far in his career. Cueto (143-110 mark in his career) holds a 3.47 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+105)
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