How the SEC or Big Ten (or both) get two teams in

The chances of the SEC and Big Ten getting two teams in the College Football Playoff are 85%. The chances that both conferences will do it are 15%. The winner of this tournament will be announced in 2022. i in this article we discuss how each conference can get there.

The easiest way to get two teams in the CFP is for Alabama and Georgia to win the SEC championship game. The SEC has a lot of cushion beyond that. Georgia's schedule is projected to be only 36th-most difficult in FBS. If Georgia loses to Tennessee and misses out on the championship, it has 61% chance at the playoff. If it wins the game, however, the chances increase. It's possible for Georgia and Alabama to both get in. There are also long shots. Tennessee won every game except its road game against Georgia. They would have a 51% chances at CUP. For Alabama, there's a 92% probability of getting in if it loses only to LSU.

The Big Ten has two main contenders in Ohio State and Michigan. If Ohio lost to Michigan and only Michigan won the Big League, the Buckeyes would have a 73% chance to join Michigan in the CFP. In the opposite scenario, Penn State would also have less chance, but it's less likely to get in than Michigan, because Penn is ranked 12th and the Wolverines are 4th. Minnesota is undefeated and has a 10% shot at a surprise playoff berth. The Big 10 has more possibilities than the SEC. It shares having a variety of paths to the achievement.