Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+190) Minnesota (-225)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (14-11) will go up against the Kansas City Royals (6-19) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Royals at +190 and the Twins are priced at -225. The total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Jordan Lyles and Pablo Lopez.

Kansas City owns a slugging percentage of .343 and have been rung up 225 times, while taking a walk on 56 occasions. They have compiled 76 RBI's as well as 182 hits so far this year, while their batting average is sitting at .219. The Royals have hit 37 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 18 balls out of the park. They have a total of 82 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .275. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are recording 3.3 runs per contest, which has them at 28th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41. Royals pitchers have surrendered 34 home runs in addition to 135 total runs (26th in baseball). Kansas City has conceded 228 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) and 129 earned runs. The Royals have a team ERA of 5.29 for the year (28th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 207 batters. They have walked 81 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.72 as a team this season.

The Royals bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 12 save situations. The relievers have inherited 23 runners over the course of the season and 47.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Royals relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 14 times and also have had 16 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 80 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have accumulated 5 holds on the season (28th in the league). They have compiled 4 saves on the campaign and have blown 3 of their 7 save opportunities.

The Royals have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,977 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. The Kansas City Royals have notched a total of 659 putouts this year, in addition to 207 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them ranked 4th in baseball, and have earned 19 double plays.

Lyles (66-94 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.70 while facing 5,950 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,477 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 454 walks. His ERA is 5.10 (769 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.422. Lyles has thrown 1,357 frames and has 1,045 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Twins hold a slugging percentage of .399 and they tally 4.36 runs per outing (19th in MLB). They have tallied 37 two-baggers, while taking a walk 73 times and notching 109 runs. Minnesota has tallied 31 home runs this season as well as 104 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 235 instances (7th in the league) and have notched a total of 193 base knocks. The Minnesota Twins have recorded an on-base percentage of .303 and a batting average of .231 so far this year.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.112 with a FIP of 3.53 as a squad for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.80 (243 strikeouts against 62 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 185. They have relinquished 25 long balls and they yield 3.81 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 94 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.52 (87 earned runs allowed).

Minnesota has had relievers enter the game in 11 save chances and they have converted 7 saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball holding a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 67 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 14 inherited runners. With 28 save situations, the Twins have amassed 17 holds and 4 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 19 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 200 assists, 12 errors and have notched a total of 668 putouts on the season. In their 2,004 innings on the diamond, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in the majors).

Lopez (29-33 career win-loss record) holds a 3.88 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.52 and he has faced 2,231 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 233 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.178 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Lopez has surrendered 486 base hits and he has 528 K's in 540 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (+190)

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