Kings vs. Thunder same-game parlay predictions Feb. 11: Bet on OKC to win, take an alt under
Two Western Conference squads with championship aspirations lock horns on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: The Sacramento Kings are on a roll but few teams have managed to topple the Oklahoma City Thunder in Paycom Center this season. I'm backing OKC to win while taking the under on an alternate point total. Fading Domantas Sabonis' point prop rounds out this SGP.
NBA oddsas of 1:13 p.m. on 02/11/2024.
Kings vs. Thunder same-game parlay
Parlay: Thunder moneyline + Under 244.5 points + Sabonis under 19.5 points (+280)
Thunder moneyline (-152): The Kings have beaten the Thunder twice this season but both of those games were in Sacramento. I'm expecting home court to be a huge factor today.
OKC is a fine road team but is fantastic at home. The squad is 20-6 at Paycom Center this season and has the second-best home net rating in the NBA.
The Thunder have won 10 of their last 11 home games, and that includes victories over top teams like the Denver Nuggets, Boston Celtics and Minnesota Timberwolves.
One worry could be that Oklahoma City is playing on the second leg of a back-to-back. But the Thunder are 5-3 outright on no rest this season.
Other parlay picks
Under 244.5 points (-180): Today's 239.5-point game total is on the higher side of what bettors have seen this season. But this should be more of a slog than a shootout and teasing that number up a few points gives the under more security.
OKC has the fifth-best home defensive rating in the NBA and has gone under this mark in six of its past seven home games. The outlier was a 135-127 win over the Toronto Raptors that had 220 regulation points scored.
Sacramento is also a great unders team while on the road with a 16-10-1 record.
Sabonis under 19.5 points (-115): Sabonis had gone under this mark in seven of his past 10 games and both games against the Thunder this season.
OKC holds its opponents to the lowest field-goal percentage at the rim (61.0%), per Cleaning the Glass, and Sacramento's big man unsurprisingly takes a high volume of his shots (63.0%) from that area of the court.
In a game where I'm expecting defence to be a major factor, Sabonis is a player worthy of a fade.
