Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction

pickdawgz.com

07 November 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday night at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. Tampa Bay has lost three of their last four games, while Montreal has lost three games in a row.

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 5-3-4 this year after they lost to Toronto in overtime by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 4-1 after the first period, but they allowed Toronto to score five of the next six goals to force overtime. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 33-31 and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay did defeat Ottawa by a score of 6-4 in the game prior to Toronto. The Tampa Bay Lightning are scoring 3.64 goals per game and they are allowing 3.27 goals against per game, while going 30.6% on the power play and 86.7% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led the Lightning this season with nine goals, 11 assists, and 53 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Matt Tomkins, who is 0-2-0 this year with a 3.61 goals against average and a .891 save percentage.

Canadiens Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 5-4-2 this season after they lost to the St. Louis Blues by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Montreal cut the lead to 3-2 in the second period, but St. Louis added three goals in the third for the win. The Canadiens were out shot by a total of 35-33 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Montreal has also lost to Arizona and Vegas during this three game losing streak. The Montreal Canadiens are scoring 2.91 goals per game and they are allowing 3.36 goals against per game, while going 20.5% on the power play and 75% on the penalty kill. Cole Caufield has led the Canadiens this season with four goals, seven assists, and 47 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Montreal is Jake Allen, who is 3-1-1 this season with a 2.72 goals against average and a .927 save percentage.

Montreal Canadiens Team Facts

The home team has won each of the Canadiens' last five games.
The Canadiens have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Canadiens have lost the third period in each of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in 12 of the Canadiens' last 13 games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

The Lightning have lost each of their last nine night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Lightning's last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Lightning have won the second period in five of their last six games.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

Sean Monahan has scored a goal in four of the Canadiens' last five games.
Cole Caufield has recorded at least one assist in four of the Canadiens' last five games at Bell Centre against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Kirby Dach has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances with the Canadiens as home underdogs.
Sean Monahan has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Canadiens this season (2).

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Steven Stamkos has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning's last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning's last 13 Tuesday night games.
Steven Stamkos has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
Brayden Point ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Montreal Canadiens ranks T4th in the league in short handed goals this season (2).
The Montreal Canadiens ranks 29th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.64).
The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (87.88%).
The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.50).

Pick

Montreal started the season playing pretty well, but they have lost three games in a row, while Tampa Bay has also struggled in recent games. Tampa Bay has the better offensive attack, but I give the goaltending advantage to Montreal with Jake Allen. The Lightning are going to be on the second game of a back to back in this one and I think that is going to give a big advantage to Montreal. Take the Canadiens to get the win here.