Liverpool vs. Aston Villa odds, prediction, start time: 2023 English Premier League picks, bets for May 20

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Liverpool vs. Aston Villa odds, prediction, start time: 2023 English Premier League picks, bets for May 20

Two of the top eight teams in the English Premier League table square off on Saturday. Aston Villa take on Liverpool as part of a six-match schedule of EPL action. Anfield hosts the match, with Liverpool bringing a seven-match overall winning streak. Liverpool also won the first meeting in December, though Aston Villa have seven wins in the last 10 matches overall.

Kickoff from Anfield is scheduled for 10 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the -215 favorites (risk $215 to win $100) in its latest Liverpool vs. Aston Villa odds. Aston Villa are the +525 underdogs, a draw is priced at +350, and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Aston Villa vs. Liverpool picks, make sure you see the English Premier League predictions and best bets from soccer insider Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.45 units), the FA Cup (+3.07) and the EFL Cup (+3.64).

Now, Green has broken down the Aston Villa vs. Liverpool match from all sides. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Liverpool vs. Aston Villa:

  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa money line: Liverpool -215, Draw +350, Aston Villa +525
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa spread: Liverpool -1.5 (+125)
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa over/under: 2.5 goals
  • LIV: The Reds have won seven straight EPL matches
  • AVL: Aston Villa are 9-2-2 in their last 13 EPL matches
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Liverpool

Liverpool are on a seven-game winning streak, illustrating just how well things are going in recent weeks. The Reds have also won five straight against Aston Villa, including a 3-1 victory on the road at Villa Park in December. Liverpool have won all four matches against Aston Villa at Anfield since Aston Villa were promoted in 2019, and home dominance is the order of the day for the Reds. 

Liverpool have 13 wins, four draws, and one loss in 18 EPL matches at Anfield, including an 11-match unbeaten streak at home. Liverpool have 29 of a possible 33 points over that stretch and, for the full season, the Reds have the second-most points in EPL home games. In contrast, Aston Villa have lost two straight on the road and eight of 18 road matches in EPL play. In that 18-match sample, Aston Villa have only 17 goals combined, and Liverpool rates in the top six of the EPL in allowing only 42 goals this season. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why you should back Aston Villa

Aston Villa are playing quite well as this match arrives. Unai Emery's bunch has won seven of the last 10 matches in EPL play, and Aston Villa have an impressive combination of defensive resistance and offensive creativity. Aston Villa are in the top five of the EPL in allowing 42 goals this season, with a top-three rate of allowing only 1.17 goals per 90 minutes. Aston Villa also have a 72.5% save rate that ranks in the top four of the Premier League, with opponents producing only 23 assists this season. 

Aston Villa sometimes struggle to score away from home this season, but on defense, the club has allowed only 24 goals in 18 road matches. Ollie Watkins keys the offensive attack for Aston Villa, and the 27-year-old forward is a dynamic presence. Watkins is in the top 10 of the English Premier League with 14 goals this season, and he also ranks in the top 10 when combining 20 goals and assists in league play. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Aston Villa vs. Liverpool picks

Green has taken an intensive look at the Liverpool vs. Aston Villa matchup. He is leaning Under on the goal total, and he has locked on a pair of best bets, one of which offers a plus-money payout. He's only sharing those EPL picks on SportsLine.