Luka Doncic Props, Odds and Insights for Mavericks vs. Heat

The Dallas Mavericks, including Luka Doncic, face off against the Miami Heat at 7:30 PM ET on Thursday. In this piece, we’ll break down Dončić’s stats and trends to help you find the top picks among his prop bets for this matchup.

Doncic paces his squad in points (34.6), rebounds (9) and assists (9.8) per game, shooting 49.6% from the field and 37.8% from downtown with 3.9 made 3-pointers per contest. Defensively, he delivers 1.4 steals (eighth in league) and 0.6 blocked shots.

Luka Doncic Prop Bets and Matchup Info

• Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat
• Time: 7:30 PM
• Date: March 7, 2024
• TV Channel: Bally Sports – Watch on Fubo
• NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Free trial
• Points Prop: Over 33.5 (-105)
• Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5 (+100)
• Assists Prop: Over 10.5 (+100)

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 10:56 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Thursday’s points prop for Dončić is 33.5. That’s 1.1 less than his season average.
• He averages 0.5 less rebounds than his prop bet Thursday of 9.5.
• Dončić’s assists average — 9.8 — is 0.7 lower than Thursday’s over/under.
• His 3.9 made three-pointers average is 0.4 higher than his over/under on Thursday.

• vs. Pacers (3/5/2024): 39 PTS, 10 REB, 11 AST, 50 FG%, 4-13 from 3PT
• vs. 76ers (3/3/2024): 38 PTS, 11 REB, 10 AST, 51.9 FG%, 4-10 from 3PT
• at Celtics (3/1/2024): 37 PTS, 12 REB, 11 AST, 56 FG%, 3-9 from 3PT
• at Raptors (2/28/2024): 30 PTS, 12 REB, 16 AST, 2 STL, 47.8 FG%
• at Cavaliers (2/27/2024): 45 PTS, 9 REB, 14 AST, 3 STL, 58.6 FG%, 6-11 from 3PT
• at Pacers (2/25/2024): 33 PTS, 6 AST, 2 BLK, 47.6 FG%, 4-8 from 3PT
• vs. Suns (2/22/2024): 41 PTS, 9 REB, 11 AST, 3 STL, 51.9 FG%, 6-11 from 3PT
• vs. Spurs (2/14/2024): 27 PTS, 9 REB, 8 AST, 2 STL, 55 FG%
• vs. Wizards (2/12/2024): 26 PTS, 11 REB, 15 AST, 2 BLK, 50 FG%, 2-7 from 3PT
• vs. Thunder (2/10/2024): 32 PTS, 8 REB, 9 AST, 64.3 FG%, 4-8 from 3PT

• Doncic’s scoring average against the Heat (31.5) is 2.0 less than his over/under for this game.
• He averages 12.2 rebounds versus the Heat — 2.7 more than his prop total (9.5).
• Doncic puts up an average of 7.5 assists versus the Heat, 3.0 fewer than his prop bet total for this game.
• In games versus the Heat, Doncic has made 0.3 more three-pointers per game than his current over/under (3.5).