Mavericks vs. Wizards odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, November 15 predictions from proven model

The Washington Wizards look to pick up their third win of the 2023-24 regular season as they host the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night. Washington (2-8) fell to Toronto on Monday, 111-107, while Dallas (8-3) was blown out on Tuesday by New Orleans, 131-110. The Wizards have won the last four meetings including most recently a 127-126 thriller last January. Washington is 5-5 against the spread, while Dallas is 6-5 ATS in 2023.

Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Dallas is a 6-point favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. Wizards odds according to the SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 245.5 points. Before entering any Wizards vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 80-43 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Wizards. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Wizards vs. Mavs:

• Wizards vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -6
• Wizards vs. Mavericks over/under: 245.5 points
• Wizards vs. Mavericks money line: Mavericks -237, Wizards +189
• Wizards vs. Mavericks picks: See picks here

Why the Mavericks can cover

Despite a rough performance on Tuesday night, star guard Luka Doncic remains second in the NBA in scoring, averaging 31.1 points per game. His 16-point, two-rebound, two-assist performance in 26 minutes against New Orleans marked season lows for one of the league's best players. Incredibly, Doncic has scored 29 or more points in eight of the team's 11 games, and with adequate rest last night, he should be in for a big performance against Washington.

Doncic's backcourt mate Kyrie Irving has also been key in Dallas' hot start. Despite scoring only 17 points on Tuesday night, Irving is averaging 22.3 PPG and dishes out 6.7 assists with 4.1 rebounds nightly. Against a Washington team allowing 122.5 points per game, Dallas should have no problems scoring at will tonight. See which team to pick here.

Why the Wizards can cover

Forward Kyle Kuzma has become the team's leading scorer after Bradley Beal was traded to Phoenix this offseason. Kuzma is averaging 24.1 points per game, 6.1 rebounds, and 3.0 assists. He leads an inexperienced group including guard Jordan Poole, who is second on the team with 16.2 PPG.

A bright spot of late for one of the NBA's worst teams has been rookie first round pick Bilal Coulibaly. Coulibaly has played 30 or more minutes in three of his last four games and has scored 10 or more points in three of those four contests. The No. 7 pick overall has a dynamic but raw game which should only improve as the season goes along. For Washington to keep it close with the Mavericks tonight, Kuzma, Poole, and Coulibaly will have to likely lead the way. See which team to pick here.

How to make Mavericks vs. Wizards picks

The model has simulated Mavs vs. Wizards 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread holds all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.