Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
TV: Bally Sports Arizona
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-115) Arizona (-105)
The Milwaukee Brewers (7-2) are en route to Chase Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-4). The odds on this game have the Brewers at -115 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at -105. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Corbin Burnes and Merrill Kelly.
The Brewers have hit 11 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 12 baseballs out of the stadium. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .442 and have been called out on strikes 81 times, while being walked on 43 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 6th in the league. They have compiled 48 RBI's and 81 hits this year, and their team batting average comes in at .276. They have racked up 48 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .365.
The Brewers have a team earned run average of 2.59 so far this year (3rd in baseball), and they have struck out 68 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.06 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have conceded 7 home runs and 23 total runs (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 33 batters and their FIP is 4.26 as a team this year.
The Brewers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 100.0% and has come into the game in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 runners this year with 12.5% of them ended up scoring. Brewers pitchers have come into the game with runners on 5 times as well as having 6 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 30 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 6 holds for the year (14th in MLB). They have tallied 2 saves on the season and have blown 0 out of their 2 chances to save the game.
The Brewers have converted 74.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 720 innings, ranking them 1st in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have 240 putouts so far this season, as well as 85 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 8 double plays.
Burnes (35-20 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 2.93 while facing 2,127 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 412 base knocks (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has 145 free passes. His earned run average is 3.33 (194 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.061. Burnes has pitched in 525 frames and has tallied 676 punch outs during his career.
The Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .432 and they are earning 5.00 runs per outing (11th in the league). They have notched 24 doubles, while walking 18 times and notching 50 runs. Arizona has knocked in 8 HRs so far this season to go along with 47 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 71 occasions (25th in baseball) and have tallied 91 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have compiled an OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .271 this year.
The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.517 with a FIP of 6.21 as a unit for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.49 (82 strikeouts vs 55 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 77. They have yielded 18 home runs and they allow 5.48 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 53 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 5.28 (51 earned runs relinquished).
Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 10.5% out of their 19 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 11 times in high leverage situations and on 11 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 8 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 4 holds and 1 blown save. They are ranked 10th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 32 relievers to the hill this season. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 4 save chances and they have earned 3 saves.
Out of their 783 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks have earned a defensive efficiency of 73.5% (3rd in professional baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 5 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .992 (7th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 89 assists, 3 errors and have earned 261 putouts this year.
Kelly (36-36 record in his career) holds a 3.96 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 2,415 hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 256 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.238 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. So far in his pro baseball career, Kelly has allowed 549 base knocks while he has totaled 502 strikeouts in 582 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-105)
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