Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+170) Philadelphia (-200)

The Philadelphia Phillies (51-42) host the Milwaukee Brewers (52-42) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Milwaukee at +170 while Philadelphia is opening at -200. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Julio Teheran and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.2 runs per outing, which is 25th in baseball. They have accounted for 392 runs scored while having a team OBP of .312. The Brewers have tallied 130 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 101 balls out of the park. They have earned 377 RBI's and 717 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .232. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .378 and have been called out on strikes 869 times, while taking a walk on 334 occasions.

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The Brewers hold a team ERA of 4.00 this season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 780 batters. Brewers pitchers have relinquished 115 long balls and 400 runs in total (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 299 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.43 as a squad for the season. Milwaukee has conceded 743 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 371 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Brewers have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 105 runners on the season and 28.6% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 31 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 12 out of their 43 save chances. The Brewers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 72.1% and has entered the game in 105 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 61 holds for the year (5th in the league). Brewers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 73 times and also have had 94 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have turned 71.2% of balls in play into outs in their 7,521 innings, ranking them 2nd in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 2,507 putouts for the season, as well as 821 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 10th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 70 double plays.

Teheran has pitched in 1,443 frames and has earned 1,239 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Teheran (80-80 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.35 while going up against 6,014 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.80 (609 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.217. He has conceded 1,271 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 486 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .259 so far this season. They have been rung up on 850 occasions (7th in baseball) and have earned 833 base hits. Philadelphia has 105 home runs on the season to go along with 409 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .423 and they are earning 4.58 runs per contest (14th in baseball). They have hit 176 doubles, while taking a walk 280 times as well as earning 426 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 414 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.10 (376 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 104 dingers and they give up 4.52 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.250 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a unit for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (849 strikeouts vs 272 free passes). They are sitting at 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 759.

Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 35 save chances and they have earned 26 saves. They are currently ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 74.3%, and they have sent 306 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 97 times in high leverage situations and on 73 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of their 109 inherited runners. Sitting with 76 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 41 holds and 9 blown saves.

In 7,428 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (14th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 65 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 800 assists, 45 errors and have 2,476 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Nola has surrendered 1,158 hits and he has 1,500 strikeouts in 1,347 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 550 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.124 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.21 and he has gone up against 5,504 batters during his pro baseball career. Nola (86-68 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.67 ERA while conceding 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+170)

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