Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 4/25/2023 Preview and Pick
Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
Date: Tuesday, April 25, 2023
Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO
TV: NBATV
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+9)
The Denver Nuggets will try to beat the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Tuesday in Game 5 of their series. Denver leads 3-1. Minnesota opens this game as 9-point underdogs. The total is 222.5.
The Timberwolves notched a win by a score of 114-108 in Game 4. Minnesota finished the contest with a 45.2% field goal percentage (42 out of 93) and converted 13 of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Timberwolves knocked down 17 of their 22 shots for a rate of 77.3%. With respect to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 51 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 23 dimes for this contest while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 6 steals. When talking about defense, Minnesota allowed 44.2% from the floor on 42 of 95 shooting. Denver doled out 21 assists and had 6 steals for this game. Moreover, Denver grabbed 47 boards (10 offensive, 37 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Denver shot 66.7% from the free throw line by converting 12 of 18 shots. They also made 12 of their 35 shots from long range. When talking about personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up walking away with 19 while the Nuggets totaled 23 personal fouls.
Anthony Edwards is a player who was a factor in this game. Edwards walked away from this one shooting 44.4% from the floor and also earned 5 assists. He played 45 minutes and pulled down 6 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 34 points on 12 out of 27 shooting.
Minnesota enters this one with a mark of 42-40 for the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.3 times per game and as a team are committing 21.6 fouls per game. As a unit, Minnesota is collecting 41.9 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,145 assists for the season, which has them ranked 8th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Timberwolves are shooting 36.5% on 3-pointers (997 of 2,731) and 75.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 115.8 pts per contest (13th in the NBA) on 49.0% from the field.
On the defensive end of the court, the Timberwolves have forced 15.4 turnovers per game while drawing 20.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 12th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,051 relinquished so far this season. The Timberwolves defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.1% (3,428 of 7,277) and they surrender 44.7 boards per game as a squad. They give up 36.9% from 3-point land while they are 18th in the league in PPG allowed (115.8).
In Game 4 the Nuggets were able to corral 37 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 47 in this contest. They gave up possession 11 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Timberwolves had 19 fouls for this game which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They were able to convert 12 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Denver made 12 out of 35 attempts (34.3%). Overall, the Nuggets finished the game shooting 42 out of 95 from the floor which had them at 44.2%. The Nuggets permitted the Timberwolves to make 42 of 93 tries from the field which left them shooting 45.2% for the game. They finished 38.2% from beyond the arc by shooting 13 out of 34 and finished the game at 17 out of 22 at the charity stripe (77.3%). In regard to rebounding, Denver permitted Minnesota to pull down 51 in all (14 on the offensive glass).
Nikola Jokic ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets in this matchup. He buried 15 of 26 in this matchup for a rate of 57.7%, and totaled 11 rebounds. Jokic accumulated 43 points in his 39 mins of playing time and totaled 6 assists in this game.
Denver has a win-loss record of 53-29 for the campaign. The Nuggets have committed 18.6 personal fouls every game and they go 75.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 28.9 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.5 times per contest. Denver has accumulated 9,495 points this season (115.8 per contest) and they average 43.0 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets are shooting 50.4% from the field, which has them ranked 1st in the league.
The Denver defense allows 34.4% on 3-point shots (933 of 2,711) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 25.7 assists and 40.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 16th and 1st in the league. The Nuggets defensively are ranked 8th in the league in points per game surrendered with 112.5. They are able to force 13.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.8% from the floor (20th in the NBA).
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-9)
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