Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-135) Cleveland (+115)

The Cleveland Guardians (14-18) will take on the Minnesota Twins (19-14) at Progressive Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Minnesota at -135 while Cleveland is sitting at +115. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Ryan and Cal Quantrill.

Minnesota is slugging .396 and have been rung up 321 times, while being walked on 110 occasions. They have amassed 142 RBI's and 247 base knocks on the year, and their batting average sits at .225. The Twins have earned 48 doubles as a squad and have knocked 43 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 149 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .303. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in baseball.

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The Twins have an ERA of 3.33 this year (3rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 324 hitters. Twins pitchers have conceded 30 home runs and 120 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 94 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.51 as a team on the campaign. Minnesota has allowed 243 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 110 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.45 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13.

Twins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 21 times as well as having 38 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 21 holds for the year (9th in baseball). The Twins relievers have a save percentage of 62.5% and stepped onto the hill in 37 save situations. They have accumulated 10 saves for the year and have not converted 6 of 16 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 21 base runners so far this season with 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Twins have sent 95 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Twins have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,676 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have accumulated 892 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 269 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 18th in professional baseball, and have a total of 23 double plays.

Ryan has taken the ball for 211 innings and has earned 224 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.40 (80 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.002. He has surrendered 154 base knocks (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 58 walks. Ryan (20-9 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.75 while he has gone up against 847 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Cleveland has accounted for 17 home runs on the campaign to go along with 106 runs batted in. They have put up 56 doubles, while walking 116 times as well as putting up 116 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have an OBP of .303 and a batting average of .224 on the campaign. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .333 and they score 3.62 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have been rung up on 246 occasions (28th in the league) and have recorded 242 hits.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.256 in addition to having a FIP of 4.15 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.30 (236 strikeouts against 88 free passes). They rank 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 275. They have allowed 32 home runs and they surrender 4.27 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 137 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.89 (125 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 33 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 14 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Cleveland has had relievers step onto the hill in 19 save opportunities and they have earned 12 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 46 times in high leverage situations and on 29 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% of 33 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in the league with a save rate of 63.2%, and they have sent 100 relievers to the mound for the season.

In 2,601 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 23 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 311 assists, 14 errors and have notched a total of 867 putouts this year.

During his pro baseball career, Quantrill has allowed 483 base knocks while totaling 386 K's in 503 innings pitched. He has surrendered 202 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.78 and he has gone up against 2,109 batters so far in his career. Quantrill (32-18 career mark) holds a 3.61 ERA and has given up 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-135)

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