Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction 7-5-23 MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet in an AL Central division matchup in MLB action from Target Field on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Minnesota is listed as a -240 home favorite while Kansas City is a +200 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Alec Marsh will start for the Royals here and is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Minnesota will send Pablo Lopez for the start here and he is 4-5 with a 4.24 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Minnesota’s 9-3 win over Kansas City on Tuesday made it three straight wins and eight wins in the last 9 meetings for the Twins in this head-to-head matchup. 

Trends

Kansas City is 25-63 in their last 88 games overall and 21-59 in their last 80 road games while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Minnesota is 4-0 in their last 4 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. 

Pick

I’m backing the over here. Pablo Lopez has been terrible for much of the season at home and I don’t look for that to change here, even against the Royals. On the other side, Alec Marsh struggled in his debut and I think this is just one of those games where the offense thrives on both sides. Give me the over here in a game that could hit double-digits by the middle innings.