MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (4/11)

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MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (4/11)

There’s nothing better than a full slate of games in MLB. We’ve got 15 matchups, with many games starting before 7:00 ET.

MLB has done well spreading out games to begin the year. Therefore, I’ve added a couple of same-game parlays that we can cheer on throughout the night.

Tuesday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

  • Leg 1: Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120)
  • Leg 2: Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
  • Leg 3: Austin Riley Oover 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Luis Cessa for tonight’s start. Dating back to last season, he’s got a 5.04 xFIP with under 17% of strikeouts and nearly 9% of walks. The right-hander has allowed a wOBA of .300 to lefties and has been even worse against righties, giving up a wOBA of .336 and wOBA of .224 to his last 190 righties.

Therefore, I like the righties between Ronald Acuna and Austin Riley. Acuna has a wOBA of .339 against righties in his last 455 plate appearances, with over 21% of line drives hit when he makes contact. On the other hand, Riley has shit 22.4% of line drives but also has a .217 ISO and wOBA of .337 against righties in his last 564 plate appearances against righties.

Cessa has performed better against lefties. But Olson has destroyed righties and should get a hold of one tonight. Olson has hit a .280 ISO in 529 plate appearances. He’s also limited ground balls and has hit 22.2% of line drives himself against righties.

The top of the order for the Braves should hit Cessa off the mound quickly.

Parlay Odds: +590

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies

  • Leg 1: Nolan Arenado Over .5 RBIs (-155)
  • Leg 2: Paul Goldschmidt Over .5 RBIs (-140)
  • Leg 3: Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases (-160)

Kyle Freeland’s off to an incredible start for the Rockies. But looking back to last year’s stats, it’s unlikely that that continue, especially in Colorado. Freeland has a 5.25 xFIP dating back to last year and has struck out just 16.8% of batters. The lefty has allowed 23% of line drives and 45% of hard contact.

Paul Goldschmidt has hit a .383 ISO and wOBA of .534 against lefties in his last 145 plate appearances. Then there’s Nolan Arenado has hit a .373 IO and wOBA of .383 against lefties in his last 131 plate appearances. Arenado has struck out under 10% of the time against lefties since last season.

Finally, Willson Contreras has hit a .297 ISOS and wOBA of .353 against lefties. Those three should rake. The total for this game is 12. We’re expecting runs, and Goldschmidt, Arenado, and Contreras should be able to rack up some RBIs and extra-base hits.

As a team, the Cardinals have a .232 ISO and wOBA of .359. The entire lineup will also be right-handed against the lefty Freeland. This team has also hit just 30.2% of ground balls and 26.2% of line drives against lefties. St. Louis has one of the best lineups against lefties in baseball, and now they’ll be hitting in Coors Field against a lefty who has been inconsistent throughout the years.

Freeland’s success won’t carry over in Colorado consistently.