NBA Predictions & Odds 4/4/23

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Miami Heat (41-37) vs. Detroit Pistons (16-62)
April 4, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +11.5; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.6 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.7 points and 9.3 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 83.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 110.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 48.9 percent shooting. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jaden Ivey is averaging 15.4 points and 4.9 assists. Alec Burks is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Stewart is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 road games. The under is 7-3 in Pistons last 10 overall. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Detroit Pistons are awful and the Heat need to win as they continue to fight for seeding. However, the Heat have issues winning, let alone covering big numbers. The Heat have endless bad losses on their resume, and they win as favorites by an average of 1.2 points. The Heat are 1-3 ATS as double-digit favorites. Give me the points.