NBA Predictions & Odds 5/4/23

Los Angeles Lakers (49-41) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-42)
May 4, 2023 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors meet Thursday in Game 2 of the NBA West Second Round Playoffs at the Golden 1 Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 112.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 105.7 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 22.1 points and 15 rebounds, while LeBron James is averaging 22.1 points and 11.1 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Reaves is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 30.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.1 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.1 rebounds per game.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.4 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 32.9 points and 4.6 assists, while Klay Thompson is averaging 21.1 points and 2.4 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer and Jordan Poole is dishing 3.4 assists. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. The over is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 overall. The under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

We know the Golden State Warriors have a habit of bouncing back after playoff loses, and they’ll be up for this one at home down 0-1. However, the value is still with the Lakers and the points. The Lakers continue to play elite level defense and AD has been an absolute beast in these last few games. Even with the desperation, another outright win for the Lakers wouldn’t be surprising. Heck, we’ve seen the Lakers now win 4 straight games against the Warriors. Give me the points.