Nets vs. 76ers prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NBA picks, Feb. 11 best bets from proven model
The Philadelphia 76ers visit Barclays Center to face the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday evening. The Sixers are playing for the second consecutive night, with Philadelphia bringing a 35-19 overall and 14-11 road record into this quick turnaround. The Nets are 33-22 overall and 17-10 at home this season, with Seth Curry (adductor) ruled out of action. Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson are available for Brooklyn after arriving in a trade this week. Joel Embiid (hamstring) is questionable for Philadelphia.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as a 1-point favorite for this 6 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 222.5 in the latest 76ers vs. Nets odds. Before making any Nets vs. 76ers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Sixers and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines and trends for Sixers vs. Nets:
- 76ers vs. Nets spread: 76ers -1
- 76ers vs. Nets over/under: 222.5 points
- 76ers vs. Nets money line: 76ers -120, Nets +100
- PHI: The 76ers are 12-13 against the spread in road games
- BKN: The Nets are 14-12-1 against the spread in home games
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia is comfortable on the road this season. The 76ers have a top-five road record (14-11) in the NBA, with Philadelphia producing a robust 60.2% true shooting mark away from home. The 76ers are also in the top eight of the NBA in both offensive and defensive efficiency for the season, and Philadelphia has a big potential edge at the 3-point line on offense. The 76ers are making more than 38% of long-range attempts, with Brooklyn yielding nearly 37% to opponents to rank in the bottom in 3-point defense.
Philadelphia is excellent at the free throw line, ranking in the top three of the league in free throws made and free throw accuracy, and Brooklyn is No. 25 in the NBA in free throw prevention on defense. With the Nets also struggling to league-worst marks in offensive rebound rate (22.5%) and defensive rebound rate (69.0%), Philadelphia also projects to have the edge in the possession battle.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn deploys an above-average defense, and the Nets have improved their defensive personnel with trades in the last week. The Nets are allowing only 112.9 points per 100 possessions for the season, and Brooklyn leads the league in blocked shots (6.6 per game) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.8%). The Nets are in the top five in field goal percentage (45.6%) and assists allowed (23.4 per game), and Brooklyn is in the top 10 in points allowed in the paint with fewer than 49 per game.
On the offensive end, the Nets excel at home, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession at Barclays Center on the way to a +4.8 net rating. Brooklyn is also the NBA's best shooting team this season, making 50.5% of shots from the field, 39.2% of 3-point attempts and 79.3% of free throw attempts. The Nets also share the ball effectively, averaging 26.0 assists per game and 1.81 assists per turnover, and Brooklyn is lethal in transition with more than 16 fast break points per game.
How to make 76ers vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 233 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
