NFL Week 2 yardage prop predictions: See top picks

The first week of the NFL was hard to predict from a yardage standpoint considering that offenses were just getting their feet wet, and there several teams that kept secrets as far as who would actually be involved on offense.

It feels like it will be easier to predict yardage props now that we’ve got a week of real week of action under our belts, but an important factor to consider is that some props are prone to being swayed by recency bias.

Our goal is to find the best yardage prop plays for each category, so we’ve got a pair of passers, rushers and receivers that we feel offer value for bettors this week featuring some bounce back candidates.

TOP PROP PLAYS

Passing top plays

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson OVER 216.5 yards (-117) at Bengals

Jackson had a rough debut from a statistical standpoint in Week 1 even though the Ravens won, but a bounce back effort appears to be on the horizon. The Ravens will likely be forced to throw more this week facing Joe Burrow and the high-powered Bengals attack, and Jackson will have his best weapon back in the fold in Pro Bowl tight end Mark Andrews.

Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo UNDER 231.5 yards (-115) at Bills

Garoppolo had a solid Week 1 effort, but he only threw for 200 yards, and that was with both of his top weapons in the fold in Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers. Meyers is out this week with a concussion, so Garoppolo will likely have trouble getting a consistent rhythm going through the air against a Bills defense that’s strong against the pass.

Rushing top plays

Giants RB Saquon Barkley OVER 69.5 yards (-127) at Cardinals

The Giants catch a huge break this week from a scheduling standpoint getting to face the rebuilding Cardinals after an embarrassing Week 1 effort against the Cowboys, which is great news for Barkley. The Giants should have the lead for most of the game and be able to mainly run the ball, and Barkley is the one set to rack up the yards on the ground.

Bears RB Khalil Herbert UNDER 41.5 yards (-113) at Buccaneers

The Bears ran a running back by committee approach in Week 1, and that will likely be the case again this week against a tough Buccaneers run defense. Herbert is still the Bears lead runner, but he likely accumulate many yards considering in this tough matchup on top of the fact that rookie Roschon Johnson looked the part last week and could see more work.

Receiving top plays

Jaguars WR Christian Kirk OVER 42.5 yards (-125) vs. Chiefs

Kirk had a brutal Week 1 performance in which he took a clear backseat to Calvin Ridley in the receiving pecking order, but he now offers value for bettors as a result. Kirk’s involvement will almost certainly pick up this week considering he and Trevor Lawrence established strong chemistry last season, and this matchup will likely call for both he and Ridley to perform.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson UNDER 49.5 yards (-119) at Cowboys

The Jets passing game was a disaster last week without Aaron Rodgers, and it won’t get any easier this week against a Cowboys defense completely took away any sort of passing that the Giants hoped to have. A run-heavy game script will likely prevent Wilson from getting enough volume to rack up yards through the air in what projects to be a low-scoring affair.