NFL Week 5 betting guide: Odds, promos predictions, and best bets

The Washington Commanders are set to welcome the Chicago Bears for this week’s electrifying Thursday Night Football clash. Each team presents its distinct advantages and hurdles as they step onto the field, and fans are eagerly awaiting the opening whistle.

Chicago Bears: Throughout the season, the Bears have demonstrated notable moments on the field. One player to keep an eye on is their quarterback, Justin Fields. Predictions hint at a possible initial touchdown, coupled with a remarkable 47.0% likelihood of scoring at any point in the game. Fields could very well dazzle the crowd at FedExField.

Washington Commanders: Playing on their home turf, the Commanders look formidable, especially with standout players like Brian Robinson and Jahan Dotson consistently delivering. As recent betting lines tilt in favor of the Commanders, it remains captivating to observe how they’ll utilize their star athletes against the Bears’ defense.

• Justin Fields: His potential shines, with indicators suggesting a standout performance this Thursday.
• Brian Robinson’s Touchdown: Current form hints at Robinson potentially making the first touchdown.
• Sam Howell’s Passes: Projected to throw around 238 yards; watch if he meets or exceeds this.

• DimersBOT Simulation: After 10,000 simulations, Commanders have a 73% win chance. However, surprises are part and parcel of sports.
• Odds Navigation: Familiarize with the Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under. Check multiple platforms for best odds.
• Score Predictions: With the Over/Under at 44.5 points, there’s a 56% likelihood of going Over.

Remember, sports outcomes are unpredictable. Bet responsibly.

Here’s a concise breakdown of the prime wagers for the Thursday Night Football encounter between the Chicago Bears and the Washington Commanders, anchored by our insights:

Prime Spread Bet:

• Pick: Commanders -5.5
• Odds: -110
• Platform: BetMGM
• Success Likelihood: 55% to cover the spread.
• Analysis: The Commanders need to triumph by more than 5.5 points or match that difference for this bet to hit.

Top Moneyline Bet:

• Pick: Commanders
• Odds: -250
• Platform: BetMGM
• Success Likelihood: A robust 73% win probability.
• Analysis: Given the strong odds in favor of the Commanders, a wager of $250 would return an extra $100 if they come out on top.

Top Over/Under Bet:

• Pick: Over 44.5 points
• Odds: -105
• Platform: FanDuel
• Success Likelihood: 56% chance of surpassing this score.
• Analysis: The collective score for both sides is likely to cross the 44.5 point benchmark. Betting $105 with these odds could fetch an added $100 on success.

• Promotion: Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets in Kentucky, or Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets in New Jersey, Ohio, Iowa, Virginia, or Iowa.
• Details: A straightforward offer where a $1 bet can net you $365 in bonus bets, regardless of whether your bet wins or loses.
• Activation: Activate the bet365 promo in non-Kentucky states by clicking HERE, creating an account, and depositing a minimum of $10. Activate bet365 Kentucky’s promo by clicking HERE.
• Availability: These promotions are exclusive to residents in Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and Iowa.

• Promotion: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets + No Sweat SGP token for Thursday Night Football.
• Details: New users can benefit from $200 in bonus bets after a mere $5 bet. In addition, existing users receive a No Sweat Bet token for a featured same-game parlay every day, including for Thursday Night Football.
• Activation: Activate the DraftKings promo code by clicking HERE, setting up an account, and depositing at least $5.

• Promotion: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.
• Details: A straightforward offer like bet365, FanDuel grants you $200 in bonus bets after a $5 bet. Unlike DraftKings, this promotion doesn’t have any double-up bonuses.
• Activation: Trigger the FanDuel promo code by clicking HERE, registering an account, and depositing a minimum of $10.

• Promotion: First bet offer for Thursday Night Football up to $1,500; if your bet loses, it’s refunded in bonus bets.
• Details: The charm of this offer is in the large amount of up to $1,500. Yet, it’s pivotal to understand that any loss means you’re refunded in bonus bets, not cash. So, to retrieve the initial stake, it needs to be wagered again and won.
• Activation: Unlock the BetMGM bonus by clicking HERE, registering, and using the BetMGM code SILIVECOM when prompted.

The core components of sports betting are the various odds presented. Let’s examine the Spread, Moneyline, and Over/Under details:

• Spread: This indicates by how much a team is expected to win or lose. For our game, if the Commanders are given a -3 spread, they are expected to win by more than 3 points. Conversely, the Bears would be expected to lose by less than 3 or win the game.
• Moneyline: This is a straightforward bet on who will win. A negative moneyline indicates the favorite (e.g., Commanders -150), while a positive line indicates the underdog (e.g., Bears +130).
• Over/Under: This bet revolves around the combined score of both teams. If the Over/Under is set at 47.5, bettors are essentially betting on whether the total points will be over or under that number.

For optimal platforms to place bets based on these odds, it’s essential to compare the platforms’ offerings. Often, some platforms offer slightly better odds which can translate to better returns on winning bets.

Sports betting is much more than a game of mere chance; it’s a sophisticated blend of research, analysis, and understanding the nuances of the sport. As we delve deep into the world of odds and probabilities, one thing becomes abundantly clear: making informed bets based on data and thorough research significantly enhances the betting experience and prospects.

To our friends in Kentucky, embarking on this thrilling journey into the realm of sports betting for the first time, there’s never been a more opportune moment. The surge of promotions and bonus offers, especially tailored for your state, is an exciting incentive. Such offers not only provide a cushion for newcomers but also introduce them to the dynamics of betting without significant risks. Remember to always read the fine print, understand the terms, and utilize them to their fullest.

Think you know Giants and Jets football? Play the SILive.com Prop Bet Showdown for a chance to win prizes!

Dimers.com provides exclusive sports betting content to SILive.com, including sports news, picks, analysis and sportsbook promotions to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.

If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net

Mac Douglass is the senior sports betting editor at Cipher Sports Technology Group, Formula 1 previewer at Dimers.com, tennis commentator at Statsinsider.com.au, and regular sports betting contributor to Silive.com. Having graduated cum laude with an English degree from the University of San Francisco, Mac relocated to New York in 2018 and has been covering sports betting ever since.