NHL standings before playoffs: Division titles, wild cards at stake
The end of the NHL regular season is rapidly approaching, and several key questions remain.
Can the Boston Bruins and Edmonton Oilers star Connor McDavid keep up their impressive paces to reach special territory? Who will win the tight races in the Metropolitan, Central and Pacific divisions and what are the key matchups? How will injuries affect the playoff races? And which team will have the best odds to win the May 8 draft lottery and get the chance to draft generational talent Connor Bedard?
USA TODAY Sports analyzes the NHL's stretch drive, with the regular season ending April 14:
Will the Boston Bruins break the NHL wins record?
The NHL record is 62 by the 1995-96 Detroit Red Wings and 2018-19 Tampa Bay Lightning. A recent stretch of three Bruins losses in four games makes it harder, but they have dominated in winning their last three games. Boston, which was fastest to 50 wins and to 100 points, needs 10 wins in its final 13 games to break the record. It plays eight games at home, where it is 27-3-3. The Bruins have a combined 18-5-1 record against their final 12 opponents.
Will Edmonton Oilers' Connor McDavid reach 70 goals?
It will be tight. He needs 12 over his final 11 games, and he has 10 goals in his last 11 games. Six of his final games are against three bottom-seven teams: the San Jose Sharks, Anaheim Ducks and Arizona Coyotes, though the Sharks held him without a goal on Monday night. No one has had a 70-goal season since the 1990s.
Who wins the Metropolitan Division?
The Carolina Hurricanes lead the New Jersey Devils by a point with two games in hand. But they have lost Andrei Svechnikov for the rest of the season and playoffs. The Devils ended a three-game losing streak with a come-from-behind win against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Carolina and New Jersey don't play each other for the rest of the season. The New York Rangers, six points back and on a 7-2-1 run after major trade deadline upgrades, can make up ground with back-to-back games against the Hurricanes this week. They also face the Devils on March 30.
Who wins the Atlantic Division?
Barring an epic collapse, the Bruins will clinch the title soon.
Can the current second wild-card team hang on?
It's far too early to predict, but the surging Florida Panthers moved into the second wild-card spot Monday night, one point ahead the Pittsburgh Penguins, who lost for the fourth time in a row. They don't face each other again this season. Florida stood still at the deadline, and two of the Penguins' acquisitions, Dmitry Kulikov and Nick Bonino, are hurt. So are defensemen Jeff Petry, Marcus Pettersson and Jan Rutta.
The top three teams in the Metropolitan and Atlantic divisions are in good shape to make the playoffs. The New York Islanders, who hold the first wild-card spot, are managing to win without injured star Mathew Barzal. The Ottawa Senators are six points out of a wild-card spot after ending a five-game losing streak Monday. The Buffalo Sabres and Washington Capitals are heading in the wrong direction.
Who wins the Central Division?
Just one point separates the No. 1 Dallas Stars, No. 2 Colorado Avalanche and No. 3 Minnesota Wild, and all are playing well. Stars forward Tyler Seguin returned to practice for the first time since getting cut on the leg by a skate on March 9, but he won't play on Tuesday. The defending Stanley Cup champion Avalanche have one game in hand and have won six in a row. Defenseman Cale Makar is day-to-day with a lower-body injury, though it's not considered serious. The Wild have points in 15 of their last 16 games. They have played the last five games without injured leading scorer Kirill Kaprizov. The Avalanche play the Wild on March 29 and the Stars on April 1.
Who wins the Pacific Division?
The Vegas Golden Knights lead the Los Angeles Kings by percentage points with the Oilers four points back. The Golden Knights and Kings play on April 6 (will Jonathan Quick face his former team?), and the Oilers play Vegas and Los Angeles twice each. The Golden Knights, who have a game in hand, are banged up in net. The Kings have a 10-game point streak, even with leading scorer Kevin Fiala missing the past five games with a lower-body injury. He is day-to-day.
Can the current second wild-card team hang on?
Again, too early to predict, but the Winnipeg Jets have been inconsistent since mid-February. The Calgary Flames and Nashville Predators, the two closest teams, are 4-4-2 and 5-3-2, respectively over their last 10 games. The Flames gave up four first-period goals in an 8-2 loss to the Kings on Monday. Nashville, which was a seller at the deadline, has three games in hand, but No. 1 defenseman Roman Josi is day-to-day. Winnipeg plays Calgary (April 5) and Nashville (April 8) in back-to-back games.
The top three teams in the Central and Pacific divisions are in good shape to make the playoffs. The second-year Seattle Kraken, currently in the first wild-card spot, have four losses in the last five games. But they are six points ahead of the Flames and seven ahead of the Predators. They will play Nashville twice.
Who gets the best odds to draft Connor Bedard?
The last-place Columbus Blue Jackets pulled within .004 of the Sharks' points percentage with an overtime win against San Jose on March 14. But that gap is up to .018 after Columbus lost three in a row, being outscored 18-7, and San Jose picked up two overtime losses. The Blue Jackets have two games in hand. San Jose has lost seven in a row. The bottom team has a 25.5% chance of getting the first pick in the lottery, either outright or with a team in the 12 to 16 range winning. The lottery winner can move up only 10 spaces this year.
